It’s Sandown Guineas day, which brings a sad close to the Spring Carnival and we have the best from every race with the Bet Chimps Punters Guide and, we are ready to go for the big card at the 2018Sandown Guineas. Looking for plays – we have you covered here. Our last guide can be found HERE
Race 1 – Thoroughbred Club Merson Cooper 1000m
Interesting race here first up with a good handful of untested and unseen runners. What happens in this deubtant races is a scattershot, however, following Redoute’s Choice first-uppers has reaped good rewards here, and, we are going to do that again here. Salina has drawn well, comes from the successful, Hayes & Dabernig stable, and gets the hot Mark Zahra in the saddle. Everything points in the right direction here and happy to have it on top at value. The current listed favourite, Salome comes in here as well. Ran well at the Valley despite not getting the win, the short straight didn’t help, gets a wide turn and a longer straight here and will be right in it. The Wow Signal is another sire that rarely produces poor fresh runners – and Wolf Whistle is one of those here today. Brett Prebble will be looking to return to winning ways, and has a chance to here at long odds.
Top Pick – Salina
Next Best – Salome
Longshot – Wolf Whistle
Race 2 – Ladbrokes Sandown Cup 3200m
Azuro is the top horse in this race. Distance is what Weir has been building this horse up for and retains Ben Allen in the saddle who rode for a win two starts back at Caulfield. Last race can be forgiven due to track conditions, but, was still a strong showing. Expected to run hard today. Yogi can’t be discounted, but, has just looked lost on its last two starts. Finds an easier field here and the distance is definitely within the geldings ability. If it can find that fast finishing form, it can win here – just feel there may be too many races this prep. Doukhan may not be a longshot – but, it could be the value point at its current quote. Just failed to fire last start after getting stuck in traffic, will need to do better today – but, is capable of that.
Top Pick – Azuro
Next Best – Yogi
Longshot/Value – Doukhan
Race 3 – Mrc Members Twilight Glow Stakes 1400m
Gotta Be Gold is the one to beat here. Coming in on the back of an eye watering 3.5L victory at Morphettville, gets Jamie Kah in the saddle, and has a track that suits. Drawn well, has the best top end speed in the race and should be able to lead comfortably. Will be up to the rest to play catch up. Next best here is Sweet Rockette, another trained and ridden runner on the day for Michelle Payne, and this one may represent the most value, decent speed and can sit in cover from the wide draw. Win wouldn’t shock. Jen Rules is a capable type at odds. Runs well at this range, despite not winning, but, hot jockey McEvoy in the saddle ticks a big box and, has the ability.
Top Pick – Gotta Be Gold
Next Best – Sweet Rockette
Longshot – Jen Rules
Race 4 – Mypunter.com Eclipse Stakes 1800m
Bring Me Roses is the strongest chance here in a talented field of runners. Being a back marker will begin to suit around this time of the day, drawn awkwardly, but, will easily drop back to find cover throughout. Talented horse that should be the benchmark here. Mask Of Time is the next best here. Small field suits, will look for the lead early on and has drawn well to do so. At its best, can beat this field pretty easily, only red flag is the lack of experience at the track. This type of track really suits those that come from the back and have good engines, and, that is Tally to a T. The slight increase on the Hillside will make it a little more difficult for front runners, but, the sharp corners help close running lanes. The home straight however opens up nicely and has length for back markers to move – again, suiting Tally.
Top Pick – Bring Me Roses
Next Best – Mask Of Time
Longshot – Tally
Race 5 – Kevin Heffernan Stakes 1300m
Rich Charm is first-up today after a 63-day spell. This is the type of track that suits a horse like Rich Charm, loves to go left, loves sweeping turns and open spaces, will get that here today and at its best – can beat this field by a length or more. Inconsistencies since winning streak are of concern, but, this is the race where it needs to show up, as it is capable of doing. Quilista is the type of horse that would come out, get the start, and never give it up. The little inclinations in this track are a cause for concern as Quilista is one of those horses that gives you rocks or diamonds. If she brings diamonds today – this field won’t come close. Taking a bit of a stab in the dark here on a once touted horse – that is Fuhryk. Will look to settle back of the pack early on, has shown incredible turn of foot early on in its career, comes in here slightly over raced, but, yet to show its best. One more chance here.
Top Pick – Rich Charm
Next Best – Quilista
Longshot – Fuhryk
Race 6 – Araza Sandown Stakes 1500m
Fifty Stars is again, another of our top rated runners for the day, should be well under the $2 quote by the time it jumps today. Expected to run well and replicate success on last start. One to beat. Dollar For Dollar is a clear danger. The new Currie/McEvoy combo is going to be on show here after Jamie Kah went away from the stable. Dollar For Dollar is one of those horses that just gives its all every race, and, no different should be expected here. Real chance. Sircconi was horrible last start when failing to even come in the top eight. Has shown great speed previously against a similar field, but, will need to give an unrelenting performance here to beat the top pick.
Top Pick – Fifty Stars
Next Best – Dollar For Dollar
Longshot – Sircconi
Race 7 – Ladbrokes Sandown Guineas 1600m
Proved us wrong last start, Ringerdingding is back again today, and, finds a much easier field than last time. Main danger here is Seabrook, who hasn’t really shown anything to suggest it can challenge another strong Weir runner here. Top chance. Seabrook is the next best here, drawn awkwardly, but, will be looking to get across in cover early on and sit near the rear. At its best has shown a good turn of foot and has won at this range. Track could be an issue here, as Seabrook has only every run well on flat grounds, the inclination on Hillside could be an issue. Secret Blaze is the best of the rest here. Ran on well for third behind Ranier last start and maps well here. Another that has drawn a little wide, but, won’t look for the lead and will look to slot in behind the leaders. Has shwon a good turn of foot previously and a win wouldn’t shock should the top pick find trouble.
Top Pick – Ringerdingding
Next Best – Seabrook
Longshot – Secret Blaze
Race 8 – Quayclean Zipping Classic 2400m
Libran is great value here. Ran a decent race last start when finishing third behind Jameeh, finds a talented field of runners here, but, a run close to last effort will have the 8-year-old right in the mix here. Our Libretto went amiss last start – but, gets a second chance here after a solid prep that includes four wins. Drawn the rail, but, will relinquish the lead quickly and drop back to the rear 3/4 of the field. Has a good turn off foot, but, will need some luck on the rail to get through. Dal Harraild may not be a longshot – but represents value at current quote of $5 looking at how this race could play out. Will sit behind The Taj Mahal and look to make the favourite over race early on. Dal Harraild has should be able to win the tactical battle with McEvoy in the saddle and rates well here.
Top Pick – Libran
Next Best – Our Libretto
Longshot/Value – Dal Harraild
Race 9 – Clanbrooke Racing Doveton Stakes 1000m
Written Choice just had a bad day out last start, over racing early on and never really being in it. Has been absolutely slammed by bookmakers for that run, but, happy too forgive here. Written Choice is a great horse, and, if it can regather form from before last start – is the best horse in this field. Will look to jump well and pressure for the lead early on. If Written Choice can dictate the pace of this one – its game over here. Bons Away rarely runs a poor race, was never in it last start when coming up against a far superior Osbourne Bulls. A run similar to last will be enough here. John McArdle is quietly having a decent spring, and, his runner, I’ll Have A Bit is one of the chances here. Mott has been hit and miss this season – but, I’ll Have A Bit is a good runner second-up, is second-up here today and will be right in this one.
Top Pick – Written Choice
Next Best – Bons Away
Longshot – I’ll Have A Bit
Race 10 – Le Pine Funerals Summoned Stakes 1500m
Zumbelina can be forgiven for last start when racing out of its depth and class. Convincingly beaten, and, drops back from that type of field here today. Drawn the carpark, but, that is of little importance at Sandown, as fields merge quick and rarely get caught wide on the turn. Has shown enough to suggest it can best this field. Will fall behind the lead pack early on and the Sandown straight works in McEvoy’s favour here. Our Crown Mistress will look to fly out to an early lead and dictate the pace of the race. If Zahra can get there, it should create a very fast and uptempo race. One of the top chances here. Value is in Spanner Head, who will jump out quick and sit on the heals of the lead pack, has shown a great turn of foot in transit and a win wouldn’t shock here.
Top Pick – Zumbelina
Next Best – Our Crown Mistress
Longshot – Spanner Head
Bet Chimps Racing Double – Fifty Stars to win in to Bring Me Roses to win @ $5.70/+470 on BetEasy
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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.
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