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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Ballina


Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia (Moonee Valley Punters Guide)

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

It has been a bit of a spell between Punters Guide publishings, but, we are back today, and ready to go for the big card at Flemington. Looking for plays – we have you covered here. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – Xxxx Gold 3yo Maiden Plate 1000m

Interesting race of runners here, Brazen Belle stands out here, despite the lack of racing experience. Debutante with good bloodlines that has been said to have a good set of gears over the short trip. Dunn rarely produces ineffective short priced youngsters. Taking on market confidence here.

Top Pick – Brazen Belle
No Next Best – No third dividend

TOP PICK
Ballina Punters Guide

Race 2 – Tursa Maiden Handicap 1000m

Magic Scent went extremely close to breaking maiden last start, instead, came in as the bridesmaid, but, finds a much easier race here then last. The shorter trip here helps, will push to the lead quickly and the short straight at Ballina will be a secret weapon here. Commandeering can’t be discredited here either, who should be fighting Magic Scent for the lead early on. Both have good early transitional speed to overcome wide gates. Commandeering looms as a threat. Uptooit is another that has good top end speed, and has drawn much more favourably and should challenge for the front spot. True chance and can win here.

Top Pick – Magic Scent
Next Best – Commandeering
Longshot – Uptooit

TOP PICK
Ballina Punters Guide

Race 3 – Ballina Fair Bm 58 Handicap 100m

Luke Rolls has the top weighter, Silent Statue here, and, will be carrying 62kgs, which is a concern, but, this horse is dropping significantly in class and, has drawn well enough to get behind the lead pack. Shown good turn of foot previously and, with a bit of luck, can break through and prove hard to catch. Invincible Tammy loves an uptempo race and will get that here. Expected to roll forward and compete for the early lead, and, with the short straight could be the value point. Leah Kilner is also having a great second half of 2018, and has the ride. Rocky Nugget rounds out the chances here, drawn a mid gate, and, will be another putting the pace into this one. Expected to be in the mix late.

Top Pick – Silent Statue
Next Best – Invincible Tammy
Longshot – Rocky Nugget

TOP PICK
Ballina Punters Guide

Race 4 – Thank You Reg Laurie Maiden Plate 1300m

Angel Of War has drawn wide here, but, has been racing consistently enough around this distance to be competitive here. Last start finished a close second (0.1L) and anything close to last effort will be enough here. Deep Blue Sea is another racing in form, and, an Ocean Park maiden is always competitive. Galloway returns to the saddle here after a strong effort last start, just not having enough in the tank to beat Spicers Peak. Sound prospects here. Givemeaminute could be the value point here and is at a current quote at double digits. Third two starts back reads well for this race, as it was against a better field of runners, and, at its best, can upset here.

Top Pick – Angel Of War
Next Best – Deep Blue Sea
Longshot – Givemeaminute

TOP PICK
Ballina Race 4

Race 5 – Tab.com.au Bm 66 Handicap 2650m

Skye Bogenhuber has been the quiet achiever at the moment, and has another top chance here in Stella’s Chance. Winner at only try at this distance and is coming in off a good win a furlong shorter than today. Maps well here and will be hard to beat. Blazing Cheers was a good winner last start over a furlong and a half shorter. Looked like a bit more leg room would suit, and is offered the chance to prove it today. Has the ability and will be close throughout. Shandaara is the best of the rest here. Got in the minors at only effort over this distance and, anything similar to that effort could prove value here. True chance.

Top Pick – Stella’s Choice
Next Best – Blazing Cheers
Longshot – Shandaara

TOP PICK
Ballina Punters Guide

Race 6 – The Mission @ Aquis Farm Class 1 1000m

Champagne Garden has had two first-up efforts and got in the minors both times, will be looking for one better here today against a very beatable field. Race fitness may be a question mark with a 149-day spell, but, quality enough runner to get the job done here. Inwithachance is as the name suggests. Winner last start at same grade, has an extra half furlong to deal with today, but, has the late speed to steal it late. Danger horse. Jameslea World is at a decent enough quote to warrant respect. Won at this distance and is doing well this prep, last two runs can be forgiven when getting stuck in transition and not finding openings.

Top Pick – Champagne Garden
Next Best – Inwithachance
Longshot – Jameslea World

TOP PICK
Ballina Punters Guide

Race 7 – Wardell On The River Hotel Class 3 1400m

Ryan Plumb has the chance to close out what could be a good day out here on Fanx. Fanx is a winner at this distance, Plumb has won twice in the saddle and finds a race that lacks any real chasing speed. Will shoot to the lead and prove hard to track down. Cyclone Path is a threat here. A stalker type that likes to sit just off the speed, if Fanx doesn’t put too much speed into this one, Cyclone Path could capitalise. Flinders Dragon rounds out the day here, Tegan harrison has a good chance to get the upset in the last and has a good strike rate with horses over $10 quotes but under $15 in the last two races at tracks in Northern NSW. Expected to go well here and a win wouldn’t shock.

Top Pick – Fanx
Next Best – Cyclone Path
Longshot – Flinders Dragon

TOP PICK
Ballina Punters Guide

Best Bet – Magic Scent Race 2 @ $3.00 on BetEasy
Next Best – Champagne Garden Race 6 @ $2.70 on BetEasy
Longshot – Shandaara Race 5 @ $8.00 on NEDS

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Magic Scent to win in to Champagne Garden to win @ $8.52/+752 on BetEasy

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Newcastle

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The Punters Guide returns to where it was rebooted not too long ago – the Canterbury race track. With some small fields, and a few competitive races – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Backing up from a big day yesterday, including a quaddie win at Canterbury.

Race 1 – HUNGERFORD HILL WINES CG&E CLASS 1 1500m

Salsa Man is the one to be on here. While Bobbio and Triumph Star are clear dangers, Salsa Man has the most upside in this small field of competitors. Dropping in class and will look to ride just off the lead group, has shown a good turn of foot when winning previously and this distance is optimal. Expect a bold showing. Triumph Star and Andrew Adkins are the next best options here, while Bobbio gets strong consideration, the weight claim for Triumph Star puts him in good steed here and will be competitive throughout.

Top Pick – Salsa Man
Next Best – Triumph Star
No longshot – No third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 2 – WESTFIELD KOTARA MAIDEN HANDICAP 1500m

Tye Angland has his best of the day at Newcastle here with Song And A Prayer. Impressive type that is racing well, just yet to crack that maiden, but, has that chance here in a small but competitive field. Drawn the rail and expected to run just behind the lead group, good turn of foot and will be hard to keep out here. Next Best is Homework. The Angland v Ford battle will be a good one to keep an eye on today, and in the first two races, they both have some very capable horses, and Homework is no exception, ran on gamely for a tough second last start and will be looking to do just that little bit more here to get the win. Value runner here is Regal Capital. Rachel King is in good form at the moment nad gets a horse at wide odds that has shown that it can run on strong, and, in this competitive field, has every chance.

Top Pick – Song And A Prayer
Next Best – Homework
Longshot – Regal Capital

TOP PICK

Race 3 – ADVANCED PEST CONTROL MAIDEN PLATE 1330m

Art Of More continues the short price trend here. Tommy Berry in the saddle and placed third up over this distance previously. Last start second over the trip and, looked to be closing off strong only just missing the win. Less competitive field here today, weight not an issue here, and has a lot going for it here, top chance. Seeingisbelieving is the next best here, another of Angland’s top rides for the day, just had its chances increase with the early morning scratching of favourite, Semper Fidelis. First up today after a five month layoff, expect a strong run fresh here. Almerheri is the ebst of the rest here, and another Rachel King longshot here. This race became a lot more open with the above scratching, and, Almerheri has the ability to win this, was against much better competition on first two starts and should find this group a little better. Needs to show something today.

Top Pick – Art Of More
Next Best – Seeingisbelieving
Longshot – Almaheri

TOP PICK

Race 4 – SHARP ELECTRONICS GROUP CLASS 1 900m

Venture Capital has drawn a sticky barrier, but, with it being a small field, won’t have to work as hard to get into a favourable positions. Bullock likes the Newcastle track, and, has his best ride of the day here on Venture Capital. Yet to show its full potential, and, if today is that day – could put this field to rest in the last furlong.

Top Pick – Venture Capital
No next best – No third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 5 – AUSTRALIAN BLOODSTOCK 3YO MAIDEN 900m

Another top chance here from Tye Angland on the untested Happy Bubbles, who has drawn well and by all accounts will look to push forward and dictate the pace of the race. The Ryan stables have indicated that they are extremely happy with the way Happy Bubbles has progressed and are really confident in what it will be able to do today. Expect a big run on debut. Main danger here is in the Lees trained runner Evalina, first up today after a promising debut, then spell. Should have the residual fitness here to remain in this. Another danger horse could be the Godolphin runner – Watching, but, two starts back, no excuses to offer and ran poorly down the straight. Hard to accept as a winning chance after that effort.

Top Pick – Happy Bubbles
Next Best – Evalina
Longshot/Value – Watching

TOP PICK

Race 6 – MACKA’S SAND & SOIL MAIDEN PLATE 1850m

Stage Pass has been right on the mark all prep so far, and, has its best chance to break through here today. Drawn the rail and expected roll forward early and dictate the pace of the race here. Failed to hold on thus far, but, with a slower tempo approach can go the full length here in the lead. My King’s Counsel has been doing its best work late, trying to swoop home late, would have got there last start with a bit more ground when covering a lot to finish fourth, will have the chance here with the extra metres. Shaodw Of Mordor is the best of the rest here, great value at double digits and has was right there last effort when finishing off excruciatingly close with a late push by 0.2L. Can go better here and will be right up there again today.

Top Pick – Stage Pass
Next Best – My King’s Counsel
Longshot – Shadow Of Mordor

TOP PICK

Race 7 – YARRAMAN PARK STUD BM 65 HANDICAP 1850m

Another small but competitive field here where Scratches will be the one to beat, plenty of horses have been scratched form this race, but, Scratches has remained and has the best form leading into this one. The Waller runner was an impressive winner two starts back, and, last start can be forgiven when finishing fifth after running into traffic. Has a lot less in front of er here today and can hit the post hard. Belle Du Sud has been there abouts last handful of starts, has a smaller field which helps here, and less competitive opponents, can be tricky to gauge this horse at times as it gives 100% one run then 40% the next. With less in its surroundings here, expecting a strong finish. Happy Partner is the value runner in this race. As said before, Penza loves to strike at North Coast tracks late in the day with horses over $10 and Happy Partner actually maps well for this one. Impressive third over a similar distance in a similar group of runners last up – and this duo will be better for it. Win won’t surprise here.

Top Pick – Scratches
Next Best – Belle Du Sud
Longshot – Happy Partner

TOP PICK

Race 8 – NATIONWIDE SUPER F&M CLASS 1 1500m

This last race is possibly the trickiest of the entire meet, a strong list of runners and a favourite that is extremely unpredictable. However, we aren’t going to go with the favourite here and we are going with the standout from the Lees stable in Sunreel. Strong winner last up, blowing the field away by a strong 1.5L, looking like it would have done an ever bigger margin had there been more room to run. Goes up a furlong and a half on winning effort, and, is a definite contender here. Value runner of the day. Velocano is one that you can’t look past here either. Strong form and gets Rachel King in the saddle, who placed in a competitive race last start with the horse. Looking to go one better here today and there is nothing that suggests that it can’t. The Waller trained, Joy Forever was a strong winner last start at Hawkesbury over the trip, has a jockey change here today, but, James McDonald is no downgrade. Joy Forever has the pedigree and the proven ability to win at this trip. One to include in exotics here.

Top Pick – Sunreel
Next Best – Velocano
Longshot – Joy Forever

TOP PICK

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 4/6/8
Race 5 – 6/8/11
Race 6 – 8/9/12
Race 7 – 4/7/9
$50 gets 62.00% on CrownBet

Best Bet – Happy Bubbles Race 5 @ $2.40 on BetEasy
Next Best – Sunreel Race 8 @ $3.00 on BetEasy
Longshot – Happy Partner Race 7 @ $18.00 on BetEasy

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Sunreel to place in to Art Of More to win @ $6.70/+570 on BetEasy

Remember to follow Bet Chimps on social media below!
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Gambling is for 18+ only. If you think you have a gambling addiction, please, contact the gambling hotline on 1800 858 858

***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

Sign Up to Bet Chimps for our Sport and Racing all inclusive package!

Make sure to book mark Bet Chimps for more awesome and free Punters Guide posts.