It has been a bit of a spell between Punters Guide Caulfield Cup 2018 publishings, but, we are back today, and ready to go for the big card at Caulfield. Looking for plays – we have you covered here. Our last guide can be found HERE
Race 1 – Qms Media Plate 1400m
Khulasas is going to look to be playing catch up here with Delusions likely to take a front leading position. Khulasa was impressive when running on third against stiffer competition. Khulasa has a bit more fitness and experience with big crowds, and likes to perform for them. Delusions has a big engine and will take tracking down in front, but, Khulasa and Aasira both have legitimate claims here.
Top Pick – Khulasa
Next Best – Delusions
Longshot – Aasira
Race 2 – Polytrack Gothic Stakes 1400m
Yulong January is a horse we have followed since its debut, winning on a heavy Randwick was impressive, but, the two wins prior on the firmer ground measures up well here against Ranier, who was unlucky not to win last start after only being able to get through late. If Ranier can get a bit of luck a little earlier, can be right in this – Hugh Bowman’s non-Winx record in Victoria is quite bad however. Kaplumpich is a real dark horse and could be the bolt in the dark here at a current quote of $21 at the time of writing. Impressive winner last start, and, anything close to last effort will be enough here.
Top Pick – Yulong January
Next Best – Ranier
Longshot – Kaplumpich
Race 3 – Mccafe Caulfield Sprint 1000m
Eduardo was super impressive last start, despite missing the win. Dropping a furlong here suits and has the speed to come home over the top of this field. Miss Leonidas can never be discredited here and is very deadly over this range, especially with Dwayne Dunn riding, who has a nice rapport with the horse. Damian Lane and Quilista could be the value here. Distance suits and will enjoy the speed of this race. Win wouldn’t shock.
Top Pick – Eduardo
Next Best – Miss Leonidas
Longshot – Quilista
Race 4 – Carlton Draught Alinghi Stakes 1100m
Working From Home is a dangerous horse here, perfect second up so far in it’s career, has won three from five at this range and is unbeaten at this class. Last ride can be forgiven when running into traffic and failing to get free. Expecting a better showing here, and, with a bit of luck, can get the win. From Within can’t be denied here. Will look to hit the front here on a track that favours front runners, and is hunting a fourth straight here. Will have a tall order, but, will be in the mix. Subtle Grey could be the value point here. Looking for the hat-trick here and pulled off the nice run last start went bursting through late. A run similar to that could be enough here.
Top Pick – Working From Home
Next Best – From Within
Longshot/Value – Subtle Grey
Race 5 – Nz Bloodstock Ethereal Stakes 2000m
The New Zealander can’t be overlooked here with Verry Elleegant, who is coming in on the back an impressive four run resume, two wins a second and a third last run. John Allen can get the mid card win here on the horse that has the sectionals, form and a favourable barrier draw. Will be hard to beat. Greysful Glamour has claims here, impressive winner last start, and Tim Clark has made the trip down south for the ride here. The hot Sydney hoop will be looking to repeat the last run, and, the horse has every chance here. The Nicconi filly, Scenic Sight can’t be discredited, last start win was very eye catching, despite it being a lower class. The firmer ground is a plus here.
Top Pick – Verry Elleegant
Next Best – Greysful Glamour
Longshot – Scenic Sight
Race 6 – Ladbrokes Classic 2000m
Extra Brut is in fantastic form right now, winner at track, distance and class last start and finds a less difficult task here today. A fourth win is on the horizon here today. Sikorsky could be the party pooper here, has shown great late speed previously, and, if this race is run at a moderate tempo, could be right in this one. Value runner here could be Star Missile despite the awkward barrier draw. Kerron McEvoy has been relishing group races this spring and it could be more of the same here. Star Missile does have a lot to do here, but, will sit in cover throughout and could come on late.
Top Pick – Extra Brut
Next Best – Sikorsky
Longshot – Star Missile
Race 7 – Ladbrokes Coongy Cup 2000m
Looking to continue the mid race favourite run, Best Of Days, the British fire engine that just has a massive motor is back here again with James McDonald in the saddle again. The Godolphin runner is in great form, and, with more ground, may have won last start, expecting another big effort here again. The older runner here, Life Less Ordinary, who ran on fourth last start carrying a bit of extra weight which is gone here. A win wouldn’t shock. Tally can never be counted out, at its best, can be one of the most competitive runners in this race. Has the late speed to shock here.
Top Pick – Best Of Days
Next Best – Life Less Ordinary
Longshot – Tally
Race 8 – Stella Artois Caulfield Cup 2400m
Kings Will Dream has looked like it will eat up the two extra furlongs here on last effort when coming up short. A stayer that is going to enjoy this type of stage to race one, has drawn well, and, is running light. Hard to beat. Youngstar has drawn awkwardly but looked flashy last start when digging deep to grab a place. Run suggested the extra distance will suit here. One to watch. Ace High is the best of the rest here. Not in unfamiliar territory at a group one race, has won this level previously. Has shown a superior turn of foot in this type of condition and is going to be highly competitive here a good value. Will find beating the favourite a tall order, but, capable of doing so.
Top Pick – Kings Will Dream
Next Best – Youngstar
Longshot – Ace High
Race 9 – Schweppes Tristarc Stakes 1400m
Really interesting race this one, with, one clear standout on recent runs in Invincibella, who just ran dominantly in her last race at Flemington, has the winning hoop return here in Hugh Bowman, and, finds a field that really lacks top end speed over the closing furlong. If Invincibella can stalk the lead runners and find a seam, will be hard to beat. Miss Sisska at such long odds is wrong. Impressive winner against speedier horses two starts back, defeating the highlighted runner in Naantali. Has a tall task here, but, is definitely not without claims here. Ellicazoom is the best of the rest here in a rather uninspiring field. Expecting a big effort here today with Bayliss back in the saddle. Win won’t shock.
Top Pick – Invincibella
Next Best – Miss Sisska
Longshot – Ellicazoom
Race 10 – Ladbrokes Moonga Stakes 1400m
Mr.Sneaky has run well all races this prep, and, despite a sixth last start, did a lot of work to come in to that position impressively. Drawn a little wide, but, has the ability to run hard late in this one, and, time ratings over the final two furlongs are better than most in this race. A bit of luck and will be hard to keep out. Can’t deny Peaceful State credit here, an impressive run two starts back in the Chandler McLeod Stakes, and, on that effort, can run on late. Will be swooping late with Mr.Sneaky in a dash for cash. Edge goes to Mr.Sneaky there. Dreamforce will look to push for the lead early, and, on a track that favours that, can lead from start to finish. If Dreamforce can put enough of a gap between the front of the pack and the rear – Mr.Sneaky and Peaceful State will need massive efforts to get there.
Top Pick – Mr.Sneaky
Next Best – Peaceful State
Longshot/Value – Dreamforce
Bet Chimps Racing Double – Extra Brut to win in to Khulasa to win @ $10.92/+992 on BetEasy
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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.
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