The Punters Guide returns to form, nailing back-to-back quaddies this week. With some big fields, and a few competitive races – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Backing up from a medium day yesterday at Taree.
Race 1 – DOWIE DOOLE HURDLE 3100m
Not really much to be said here, Morphettville kicks the day off with a hurdle race – which Killarney Kid is the only winning hope in. Not much else needs to be said here, the market reflects this.
Top Pick – Killarney Kid
No next best – No second or third dividend
Race 2 – UBET HANDICAP 1050m
Another small field to kick things off here at Morphettville, and, another one horse race in a small field. Jamie Kah and the Dabernig stable are the top hope here on Thine Is The Power, on what looks to be a sloppy day at the South Australian track with moderate rain forecasted.
Top Pick – Thine Is The Power
No next best – No second or third dividend
Race 3 – HAPPY 70TH BIRTHDAY HARRY PERKS 2000m
Another Weir runner here that looks to add another early win for the stable in Kellstorm. In what is looking like a day for favourites early on – Kellstorm drops significantly in class here (-12) looking for the win, and should be able to get it. Super Swoop is a looming danger, especially with the form of Raquel Clark who has the ride. And, if you are a value hunter – a win from Little Akie wouldn’t be a shock here either.
Top Pick – Kellstorm
Next Best – Super Swoop
Longshot – Little Akie
Race 4 – IRISH RACE DAY -1/9 HANDICAP 1050m
Another race that maps like a battle between the two favourite here, with Thompson Reward holding the edge. Kayla Crowther has one of her best chances here on the improving Reward For Effort gelding. Winner over this distance previously, as well as at track and is dropping in class here. One to beat. Debt Collector is another one of the chances here today, also dropping in class winning over distance and track as well. Will be a tough race between the two lead horses here. Value runner here is in Extreme Thrill. Second up here today and winner second up previously, placed twice on softer going as well. One to watch.
Top Pick – Thompson’s Reward
Next Best – Debt Collector
Longshot – Extreme Thrill
Race 5 – THIRSTY CAMEL CUP LAWN PARTY 21/12 1600m
Another favourite here, but, at good odds at the moment, with Extreme Witness still floating at $6.00 at time of writing. Most consistent here and looking to get first win at the Morphettville track. Has shown plenty of promise and, at its best, is too good for this field. Froggy Newitt and Minoan Spirit can’t be looked past here, quality horse with a jockey that loves the Morphettville track. Expected to go close here. Big value here on Holy Juan, it is a true winning chance and the odds don’t reflect this currently. Last start can be forgiven when boxing on into traffic and not getting a lane, three starts back ran on well for a contested third with an extra furlong, may have gone two better, a run close to that effort, would be good enough here.
Top Pick – Extreme Witness
Next Best – Minoan Spirit
Longshot – Holy Juan
Race 6 – AAMI SPRING CARNIVAL 20 OCT-6 NOV 1200m
It;s Time For Magic is the one to beat here, Emily Finnegan will be carrying a light weight here on the impressive sprinter, which is a big bonus here as the track conditions should be abysmal by this race. Freshened for four weeks and ran a strong trial on the soft before this race. Winner first up before, winner at distance, and placed one one try at the track. Could be on the money here today. Georgina Cartwright has the next best here in Lucky Fish, dropping in class slightly, has a strong, powerful gait that will help with the track conditions and has a big engine. Don’t take lightly. Winner at distance previously, Bellomo will have that chance again here at long odds. Will need some luck to pull this off, but, last start fourth was impressive against a much stronger field. Win wouldn’t surprise.
Top Pick – It’s Time For Magic
Next Best – Lucky Fish
Longshot – Bellomo
Race 7 – DAVID R COLES AM SPRING STAKES 1200m
Jamie Kah has the one you want to be on here in Dollar For Dollar – not to be confused with here regular ride Dollar Dollar. Impressive on boggy tracks, slight drop in class and a 100% strike rate at the distance. If Kah can stay near the front, will have every chance. Inn Keeper must be included here, unbeaten on heavy track conditions, won four of last five and non winning effort was a close second. Drawn well and has every chance here. Emily Finnegan has a true chance here at long odds in Tatoosh. The Irish hoop will have a horse that is a winner first up, strong performer on heavy and showed strong winning form before going on spell. Should have residual fitness here and will go close.
Top Pick – Dollar For Dollar
Next Best – Inn Keeper
Longshot – Tatoosh
Race 8 – HEINEKEN 3 HANDICAP 1200m
Miss Coolangatta comes into this one with a great form line and maps well here. Justin Potter has a very good strike rate in South Australia’s at winning the last race on a card, and, he has a big chance to improve on that here. Strong place on heavy conditions, winner at distance and class. Expected to handle this one well. Top hope. Jamie Kah has another big chance here in Moghul Empire, coming in fresh after a 119 day spell and targeting a softer race dropping significantly in class. Wise And Happy is the value here, coming in with great form, and getting Eran Boyd back in the saddle who turned in an eye catching third last time they combined. AN effort close to that, and will be right in it here.
Top Pick – Miss Coolangatta
Next Best – Moghul Empire
Longshot – Wise And Happy
Bet Chimps Racing Double – Kellstorm to win in to Its Time For Magic to place @ $5.19/+519 on BetEasy
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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.
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