Today marks the opening day fo the 2018 IEM Sydney Extreme Intel Masters event. After making a mockery of the Dreamhack Marseille event, our resident eSports professional is back again today in order to provide his day-by-day analysis and his bets absolutely free here at Bet Chimps.
Day One Round Analysis
Legacy v Renegades
This is the opening match of the event, and, it is a pretty underwhelming pairing. The all Aussie affair pits North America based Renegades against a roster shuffled Legacy to kick off proceedings. Legacy looked good coming into this event, on the back of some consistent play by Bl1tz, however, without the support of Yellow at this major, who is not playing due to work commitments, it is hard to see a situation where Legacy can remain within 8 rounds of Renegades here.
Ustillo needs to show a little more after some rather disappointing rounds, however, Azr and Jkaem have looked solid. The core of this team is better than the starting five for Legacy and should be able to clutch out the difficult rounds.
BEST BET – RENEGADES -6.5 round handicap @ $1.80/-125 on UNIBET
Faze Clan v Order
Faze Clan have been relying way too much on the efforts of Niko in order to pull rounds out of the fire for them. Xizt has proven to be a shaky addition in the absence of Olofmeister and veteran member Kerrigan has been below average at best.
Order have been gifted a massive line to try and keep up with here, and the underwhelming form of Faze heading into this one means that Order has every chance to cover this line – you wouldn’t go as far to say that Order will win this one, but, it wouldn’t surprise with the current state of Faze.
BEST BET – ORDER +7.5 @ $2.02/+102 on UNIBET
Cloud 9 v Grayhound Gaming
Cloud 9 have looked very different since the departure of Stewie2k, not that he was a superstar before leaving however. Grayhound being led by Gratisfaction, who is supported well by newcomer Malta, could be the upset of the round here. C9 for short, have pulled off a big win at Dreamhack with a 2-0 win over Faze, but, as mentioned above, beating Faze isn’t quite as impressive as it once was. Since then, C9 have been incredibly difficult to trust with lines like this.
Grayhound are vying for the coveted #1 spot in Australian Counter Strike, a big upset here of C9 could catapult them into that spot. Gratisfaction needs to be rementioned here as he has been instrumental in the rise of Grayhound. If Grayhound can get into a position where they can get awp control, Grayhound could very well win this game.
BEST BET – GRAYHOUND GAMING +4.5 @ $2.10/+110 on UNIBET
Tyloo v SK Gaming
This is the hardest match of the opening rounds to try and predict. When Tyloo are able to get their communications down pact, they are a dangerous side, even when on pistols. Bntet and Captain Mo are always dangerous and very hard to keep at bay. However, the mixed languages in this side has led to a lot of cheap rounds being lost, and you can’t afford that against a side like SK Gaming, despite their troubles. The Chinese, Indonesian mixture on Tyloo is ironing out its wrinkles, but, not enough yet to win this one, or stay within 7.
SK Gaming, despite their ongoing battle with consistency, are one of the top 10 sides in the world for a reason, they can get great individual games from players, they just rarely put it together as a team at the moment. Stewie2k is now on the roster, he is yet to show why he was such a coveted signing, consistently sitting at the bottom of the SK team statistics board. Coldzera and Fallen are going to need to show up here at this tournament if SK are to have a real chance of going past the quarter finals.
BEST BET – SK GAMING -5.5 @ $1.80/-125 on UNIBET
NRG Gaming v Astralis
NRG Gaming are a great side online when they have poor ping working in their favour, the last time they were at an offline event, they got absolutely ravaged. Unfortunately for NRG, they have been stuck with major winners and the most in form side in Counter Strike right now in Astralis. The Danes are going to be heavily favoured again here to win this tournament. NRG have a big test here to kick off their campaign, one that looks just too tall of an order.
Astralis, winners of the Dreamhack major in Marseille, come into this full of confidence after suffering a couple of cheap losses on the European scene as they perfected their strats on maps they are unfamiliar with. If NRG are to have a chance, they would be looking for Dust 2 the new map in rotation at the tournament, or, hopping they can get Train and have a big CT side. Either way you look at it, NRG are heavily outmatched here on one for one talent.
BEST BET – ASTRALIS -4.5 @ $1/72/-139 on UNIBET
Mousesports v BOOT[d]s
Mousesports disappointed at Dreamhack, going in as the favourites and dropping some rather easy matches. Coming into this one, they are expected to easily handle the third best Chinese side in Boot[d]s, and, if they are able to get an old map like Dust 2 or something like Nuke, they will probably beat Boot[d]s by 10 rounds. Boot[d]s are a quality side on pistol, but, aside from that, Mousesports will beat them across the board in strats and individual player ability.
Mousesports are looking for a good showing at this tournament after the disappointment of Marseille. Styko really needs to have a good showing here in Sydney, if he doesn’t this franchise really needs to call the curtain on his time with them as he has cost them so many rounds and matches of the last few months that it really needs to happen. However, even with Styko playing poorly, Sunny and Ropz have lifted and those two at their best, are good enough to beat Boot[d]s by more than 8.
BEST BET – MOUSESPORTS -7.5 @ $1.75/-133 on UNIBET
Chiefs v Fnatic
Fnatic have looked terrible in the lead up to this tournament, with top player Krimz visibly annoyed at the level of play provided by his team mates. JW has been playing at a very below standard level, and Golden was virtually non-existent bar one game. If Fnatic are to have a good tournament, they need to start off with a big win here against a rather underpowered Chiefs roster.
Losing Malta was a significant blow for Chiefs, but, not significant enough to see them not qualify for IEM Sydney. Tucks and new man in Burnruok both need to work well together in order for them to stay close here. If Chiefs are to have a chance here they will be wanting a map like Train or Cache, but, if JW is on today – Chiefs don’t have an awp player that is anywhere near the level of JW playing at 60% of his ability, which is a huge variation in this game.
BEST BET – Chiefs eSports +6.5 @ $1.85/-118 on UNIBET
G2 eSports v MVP.PK
G2 are the replacment side for Natus Vincere, who had visa issues, and, for the quality of this tournament, the replacement should have been Ninjas In Pyjamas, G2 have been absolutely abysmal save for two games. The french side made no headway at their home tournament and finished dead last in their group. Mixwell has proven largely ineffective in place of the departed Shox, and Kennys isn’t as good as he once was in order to win games individually. G2 will struggle at IEM Sydney.
MVP.PK are the top side in the Asian Counter Strike team, and rightfully qualified top of the region for IEM Sydney. Xign and Solo have been the driving force of this team and the ability of HSK in the clutch situations has been a huge boost for this team. Getting a rather soft line in an event where they won’t be as jetlagged as their opponent who has only been in the country for about 10 hours puts them in a really advantageous spot here where they could even win this match outright – it is definitely worth something small at such big odds. (currently over $3/+200 on UNIBET )
BEST BET – MVP.PK +5.5 @ $1.85/-118 on UNIBET
FUTURES BETS FOR IEM SYDNEY
Astralis to win outright @ $3.25/+125
This value can be found on Bet365. Astralis are coming into this one in incredibly hot form, looked near unstoppable at Dreamhack Marseille and are still in that form now as they begin to gel better with new addition Magisk. Have a rather soft group and should be able to top group B. After that, there isn’t really a team at this tournament that they can’t beat, more over, there really isn’t a side at this tournament with the tools to beat Astralis.
Astralis to win GROUP B @ $2.62/+162 on UNIBET
Same reasons as above, only real threat to winning group b is Mousesports, who ahve been very hit and miss over the last month. Expect Astralis to breeze through the group stages and possibly even the grand final without too much stress.
Renegades to win GROUP A @ $13.00/+1200 on UNIBET
Renegades have this nasty habit of showing up at majors and not online, good thing here is that this is an offline event and they are in a rather soft group here with some sides that are wildly under-performing. Ustillo as mentioned before, really needs to lift his game as when he is playing well, this entire side goes to another level – the type of side that could win a major, especially at IEM Sydney where a lot of the top teams are not at the top of their game. This is great value, and definitely worth taking.