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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Canterbury

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The Punters Guide returns to where it was rebooted not too long ago – the Canterbury race track. With some small fields, and a few competitive races – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Backing up from a decent day at Lismore.

Race 1 – TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP 1100m

Small field here with nothing interesting about it at all. Three horse race, with a clear standout as the betting market reflects. Kerron McEvoy on the Lees trained Miss Fabulous should be too good for this field. No value here, and, unless crafting a multi – best to just avoid this race.

Top Pick – Miss Fabulous
No next best – No second or third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 2 – EVEREST CARNIVAL ON SALE HANDICAP 1200m

This is a small, but, ultra competitive field here, with what looks like Hugh Bowman and Bubbles”n”Troubles having a two horse battle with Josh Parr and Gentle Persuasion. Gentle Persuasion gets the nod here based off incredible dash home in a near last to first performance, and, not only was it first but, it covered enough ground over the final furlong to beat the field by almost two lengths. One to beat again here. If Bowman is able to get Bubbles’n’Troubles to fire today, we could have a mad dash to the line between the two short priced horses here. However, Bubbles’n’Troubles ran on for a very unimpressive third as favourite last start – and, anything similar to that flat showing, it may not even place here. She’s Furline is the only danger to the top two here, but, both map better for this race.

Top Pick – Gentle Persuasion
Next Best – Bubbles’n’Troubles
No longshot – No Third Dividend

TOP PICK

Race 3 – ATC HONG KONG TOUR SPRINT 1100m

Stephan maps very well for this race, stepping down in grade, getting a weight claim with Sweeney on board and has shown that it knows how to hit the line hard. Very well placed in this field and a win is on the cards today. Tommy Berry has the next best here in Tarabai, winner first up previously and great strike rate at distance. Expect a bold run here today. Power Command is a consistent type that is fresh today, and, enjoys this distance. Can run on strongly, and, will be looking to bolt home over the closing stages. One to watch.

Top Pick – Stephan
Next Best – Tarabai
Longshot – Power Command

TOP PICK

Race 4 – #THERACES HANDICAP 1550m

Falcon Island gets another chance here today. Last effort was that poor it received a stewards inquiry and, has trialed good enough to get approval here today. Big question mark for me into last race was the step up in distance which it clearly did not handle. Has the drop in distance here today and is better for it. Much more competitive effort from Falcon Island expected today. Gaugin scored and impressive win last start, and has multiple wins at this distance. Tommy Berry in the saddle here only improves chances. Darci’s Affair is a talented horse that can definitely stun this field on its day.

Top Pick – Falcon Island
Next Best – Gaugin
Longshot – Darci’s Affair

TOP PICK

Race 5 – AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP 1200m

Lady I Am was disappointing to not win last start – but, is right in the mix here today. Christian Reith is in the saddle and has drawn a mid barrier and will do well to not get stuck in traffic. Expected to run just off the pace and push on down the straight. One to beat here. Next best is the top weighted Zonk with Rachel Hunt riding. Ran on for two flashy seconds over last two starts and will be looking for one better here against a very beatable field. Will need some luck to keep a dashing Lady I Am at bay. Lady Chaflont was a last start winner, and, did so impressively. Racing anything near that here today will produce a strong win at double digit odds.

Top Pick – Lady I Am
Next Best – Zonk
Longshot – Lady Chaflont

TOP PICK

Race 6 – HYLAND RACE COLOURS HANDICAP 1900m

White Boots scored an impressive win last start, and will be looking to replicate that success, however, it will need to do so from a wide draw. Another impressive runner from the Kim Waugh stables, White Boots has shown great pace and turn of foot over the last furlong to say that it is every chance here today. Fantastic Man drops in class here today and is one to keep safe, has the ability but, has come up just short over last two starts, needs to show something here today. Realise Potential is back out again today after scoring for the punters Guide at $41 odds previously. Retains winning jockey from that ride, and, based off last effort, there is no reason that success can’t be replicated here today in a very open affair.

Top Pick – White Boots
Next Best – Fantastic Man
Longshot – Realise Potential

TOP PICK

Race 7 – RIBCHESTER STANDING AT DARLEY 1250m

Star Of The Seas is the pick of the day here at plus money. Short body of work thus far, but, all three efforts have been impressive, including a strong win last start over the distance in a similar field of runners. Minor step up in grade which shouldn’t be of concern here today. Proved to good for field last start and, should do so again here today. Bull Market is the next best here, winner at distance and has beaten fields better than this. Good start needed to roll on near the front, and, could prove to hard to track down. Image Neat at massive odds wouldn’t shock here either. Winner at distance before and jockey has ridden to a place on one attempt. Not just here to make up numbers and will be competitive.

Top Pick – Star Of The Seas
Next Best – Bull Market
Longshot – Neat Image

TOP PICK

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 1/3/6
Race 5 – 1/8/12
Race 6 – 3/5/6
Race 7 – 5/11/12
$50 gets 62.00% on CrownBet

Best Bet – Star Of The Seas Race 7 @ $2.40 on BetEasy
Next Best – Falcon Island Race 4 @ $3.00 on BetEasy
Longshot – Lady Chaflont Race 5 @ $18.00 on BetEasy

Bet Chimps Racing Double – White Boots to place in to Star Of The Seas to win @ $6.00/+500 on BetEasy

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Gambling is for 18+ only. If you think you have a gambling addiction, please, contact the gambling hotline on 1800 858 858

***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Canterbury

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The return of the Punters Guide has been an overwhelming success at Geelong with the every race winner being suggested yesterday at Moruya. Today, at Canterbury, we hope to keep the good form up! We have some runners today, that just look too good on paper. Let’s do this.

Race 1 – TAB.COM.AU Handicap 1550m

Aramayo is hard to look past herre, despite being the short priced favourite. Good form lines, with the in-form Tye Angland in the saddle. The Godolphin runner was extremely close at Kembla Grange finishing second last start, in a race that looked more competitive than this one today. Good turn of foot and will be hard to beat. Horn is the next best option here, and the only one that has a true chance at beating the favourite. McEvoy has a lot of work to do as Horn has been difficult to keep in line so far in his career, but, if McEvoy can keep Horn at or neat the lead throughout, it will be right there at the end.

Top Pick – Aramayo
Next Best – Horn
No third bet – No Third Dividend.

TOP PICK

Race 2 – ATC Hong Kong Tour Plate 1250m

The Ocean Park debutant is the one that catches the eye here. Bred well, has one of the best jockeys in the saddle, and, despite a rough trial, wasn’t really asked to do much and still ran on strong. Expected to go well.

Top Pick – Matowi
No other picks – Only five runners

Top Pick

Race 3 – TAB Rewards Handicap 1250m

James McDonald and Fearless Girl map as the ones to beat here, impressive last start win at Wyong against a more competitive field at long odds. The slower the race, the better it is for Fearless Girl, and this one won’t be having a lead horse to push the tempo, most will fight to slow it down, which only increases the chances of Fearless Girl here. Symi is a Fastnet Rock debutant, and, over this trip, you can never really not rate a Fastnet Rock sired runner. Distance suits, and, the slow tempo will allow the horse to run how it suits. A win wouldn’t surprise.

Top Pick – Fearless Girl
Next Best – Symi
No third selection – No third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 4 – #Theraces Handicap 1250m

A race-to-race double could be on the cards for James McDonald here as Metamorphic looks hard to beat in this one. Another Fastnet Rock sired horse here, showed good form when running second to the in form Smartedge last up, and will be better for it here. This race reads a bit more of a quicker race, with Metamorphic looking to run midfield and push through late, has the ability. Gretzky is the next best here. Tommy Berry has the ride in here and Gretzky showed strong improvement last start when finishing second first up. Second up today and strips fitter for this one. One to keep an eye on. Smart Ain’t He is the best of the rest here, strong form lines with multiple minors and a win, in just a handful of races. Stepping up in grade slightly but, will be competitive.

Top Pick – Metamorphic
Next Best – Gretzky
Longshot – Smart Ain’t He

TOP PICK

Race 5 – Rinchester Standing at Darley 1550m

This is going to be one of Josh Parr’s best chances today – and he will bring the best out of Mollyfield. In equal class, the Star Witness runner ticks all the boxes, narrowly missing the win last stat, and, lose the extra metres here that cost the win last start. One to beat. Stepping up slightly in class today, the Charge Forward sired, Dawn Raid maps well here. Question marks over jockey selection, but, the horse has the natural ability here. Good sectional times, and last two starts showed the competitive nature of the gelding. Expect a bold showing. Best value runner here is in the Jezz Penza ride, Realise Potential. Dropping in grade and, showed fight when finishing third last start. The field isn’t overly impressive, and, this horse has every chance to get the upset.

Top Pick – Mollyfield
Next Best – Dawn Raid
Longshot – Realise Potential

TOP PICK

Race 6 – Hyland Race Colours Handicap 1100m

Widdup has two really good chances in this one, and Za Zi Ba maps as the one with the stronger chance of winning. First up today, and finished last campaign third. Really pushing for the win, and, getting the fresh start, which it has won on previously, points the arrow in the right direction. Will be right there at the post. Junglized is another ride for Tommy Berry today that has every chance to win. Dropping in class significantly and running at peak distance, could be hard to beat. The value runner here is in Argent D’or, who has a good strike rate at distance and track, surprisingly, also done well in this grade. Has the ability here, and should be able to finish strong.

Top Pick – Za Zi Ba
Next Best – Junglized
Longshot – Argent D’Or

TOP PICK

Race 7 – Australian Turf Club Handicap 1900m

Corinth has drawn a tricky gate, but, is one of those horses that is always there at the end and will be searching to go one better than last two starts which resulted in seconds. Has the late speed and is a strong performer at this distance – yet to do well at the track however. Expect it to improve its Canterbury strike rate today. Bochy has drawn perfectly here and has won at this trip before. Bowman adds that extra oomph needed to get Bochy over the line here, placed at the track previously and will be looking for better here. A win wouldn’t surprise. Geometrist can’t be overlooked here, dropping in class, impeccable strike rate at this distance, and winner at this class level before. Drawn a good barrier and should take some beating.

Top Pick – Corinth
Next Best – Bochy
Longshot – Geometrist

TOP PICK

Jockey Challenge winner – James McDonald @ $2.00

Best Bet – Aramayo Race 1 @ $2.10
Next Best – Metamorphic @ $2.70
Best Value – Geometrist @ $26.00

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 8/9/10
Race 5 – 1/2/9
Race 6 – 4/6/8
Race 7 – 4/5/10
$50 gets 61.25% on Crownbet

Remember to follow Bet Chimps on social media below!
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Gambling is for 18+ only. If you think you have a gambling addiction, please, contact the gambling hotline on 1800 858 858

***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.