Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The Punters Guide returns after a little break. We have a few competitive races at Canterbury today – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – EVEREST CARNIVAL HANDICAP 1100m

Really interesting and competitive opening race here with Hugh Bowman having a slight edge here on Wagner. The Godolphin runner is going to be hard to beat here. Jumping fresh today, but, looked impressive over distance before going on spell. Bowman adds an extra element to Wagner here and will be able to get the best out of the horse. Clear danger horse here is Vendome. James McDonald has been riding well since returning from h is suspension, and, has a very big chance to kick his Canterbury campaign off with a winner. Another horse from Kiwi sire O’Reilly, who has produced quite a few winners this season can add another one here with Vendome. At this range, you can never look past a Nicconi horse, and we have one i this race in Nicco Lad. Coming in after a spell, and, was racing well prior to that, grabbing two minor placings. Expected to go well again here today.

Top Pick – Wagner
Next Best – Vendome
Longshot – Nicco Lad

TOP PICK

Race 2 – TAB HANDICAP 1100m

This one looks to be a bit of a swing here, but, Ambleve ran impressively on debut, coming from eighth to storm home to second – only issue is that on the day, Pippie was just too good. This field has some that will look to get to the lead, but, if Ambleve can reproduce that run from its debut, it can swoop here. Right in this. Call Me Royal may have been the top choice here if not for the dodgy gate draw, but, has the early speed to overcome this and get into a favourable position. A win wouldn’t shock here. Bring The Magic is the next selection here, with the top pick being of longshot value – Bring The Magic could be the value horse. While it may be the less favoured of the two Waller runners here, it has the most upside as Press Box hasn’t been impressive at all, and was spelled after a very disappointing fifth. Bring The Magic can roll forward form the inside draw and get to the lead. Will need to show it can finish a race here today.

Top Pick – Ambleve
Next Best – Call Me Royal
Longshot/Value – Bring The Magic

TOP PICK

Race 3 – #THERACES HANDICAP 2700m

Only staying test of the meet here, and Segenhoe looks like it will be too hard to beat here. Dropping significantly in class, untested at this range, but, failed to strike on two occasions at the track, finds the going easier today and should be in the mix. All Cash is another that should be right in this one. Winner at track and class, but, having its first true staying test today, going over 2500m for the first time in its career. One to watch. Everly Girl is the danger horse here, greaat value and proven winner at range previously. Griesdale scored a nice winner yesterday, and, can replicate that success here on a horse at good odds that has a true chance.

Top Pick – Segenhoe
Next Best – All Cash
Longshot – Everly Girl

TOP PICK

Race 4 – TAB REWARDS HANDICAP 1900m

Scratches looks the one to beat in this contest. Running over the right distance today, that it has a solid strike rate over (3 2-0) and finds a beatable field today. Drawn well and will use the rail run in order to get to the lead or close to. Can win this. The next best here is Makdanife, has been there abouts this prep and is dropping in class to get this ever elusive win. Came on strong last race over a shorter distance and the extra furlong and a half is a big plus here. One of the chances. Grand Soleil is another that can’t be looked past here, impressive winner last start, and looked like it wanted to keep going, gets its chance today with a longer trip and must be included.

Top Pick – Scratches
Next Best – Makdanife
Longshot – Grand Soleil

TOP PICK

Race 5 – RIBCHESTER NEW TO DARLEY HANDICAP 1550m

Falcon Island was an impressive winner last start when sweeping over the top of Gauguin to score over this distance at this track. Gets a chance to double up on that performance going against Gauguin again today. If Falcon Island doesn’t finsish as fast as he did last start then Gauguin will ahve every chance in this one as it will look to get to the lead early again and stay there. Apart from Falcon Island, there is only one other late finisher that could threaten Gauguin, and that is Melbarra Star, who retains jockey from last start winning effort. These three horses at the top rated for this race and could produce a healthy trifecta.

Top Pick – Falcon Island
Next Best – Gauguin
Longshot – Melbarra Star.

TOP PICK

Race 6 – ATC HONG KONG TOUR SPRINT 1200m

Esperance is the one to back here. Last start coming off a spell finished a respectable second, and will be fitter for that run here today. Has the quicker closing sectionals in this race and retains jockey from first-up effort. Expect a bold run here today. Metamorphic won impressively last start and there is nothing to suggest that an effort like that can’t be reproduced here again today. Winner at distance, class and track and will be hard to keep out again here today. Falster is stepping up in class today, but, first up run last effort was eye catching to say the least, digging deep to hold the lead over the straight, if Falster can get a good start again today – could be hard to track down.

Top Pick – Esperance
Next Best – Metamorphic
Longshot – Falster

TOP PICK

Race 7 – AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP 1200m

Madam Rouge is a strong chance here, winner second up previously, drawn a sticky barrier here, but, nothing early speed can’t overcome. James McDonald will be looking to get the closing win here on another of his top chances on the day. Yet to be tested at this range, but, win prior to spell suggested it could go on with the extra furlong. Class dropper Tarabai must be included here. Running second up today, winner second up previously and is a winner at class and distance as well. One of the top hopes. Red Chandelier has drawn a gun run on the rail and is yet to be out of a placing when first-up. Winner first up previously as well as being a winner at distance. Fresh here and must be respected.

Top Pick – Madam Rouge
Next Best – Tarabai
Longshot – Red Chandelier

TOP PICK

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 5/7/9
Race 5 – 2/4/9
Race 6 – 3/4/5
Race 7 – 3/6/9
$50 gets 62.00% on BetEasy

Best Bet – Scratches Race 4 @ $4.20 on BetEasy
Next Best – Falcon Island Race 5 @ $2.90 on NEDS
Longshot – Red Chandelier Race 7 @ $14.00 on NEDS

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Falcon Island to win in to Esperance to win @ $6.16/+516 on BetEasy

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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