The Punters Guide returns after a big day yesterday at Morphettville – hitting multiple winners and the double. We have a few competitive races at Mudgee today – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE
Race 1 – CLUB MUDGEE MAIDEN HANDICAP 1200m
Humboldt is the form horse here, with Lonhro lineage. Distance is optimal as well as the field. Mitchell Bell rides today, only strengthening claims here. One to beat. Bella Pronto can’t be overlooked, jockey Greg Ryan is in outstanding form on the provincial tracks and looks well placed again here with the talented Bella Pronto. Chad Lever and Garros are the best of the rest here. Ran strongly just missing a win before spell, trialed well enough to suggest it is ready today. One to watch.
Top Pick – Humboldt
Next Best – Bella Pronto
Longshot – Garros
Race 2 – ORIENTAL & WOOLPACK HOTELS CLASS 2 1200m
La Pont should be too good here. Dropping significantly in class, and, not receiving a large penalty for doing so only carrying 60.5kgs. Has the ability and gets Gibbons in the saddle, could be hard to keep out here. Tony’s Reward is drawn well here, has form jockey Greg Ryan and has shown great sectional speed in races leading up to this. Winner at the distance twice on five runs and adding a third here wouldn’t surprise. The value runner in this race could prove to be Harry New Shoes, good form line, not doing worse than second over last four runs and will be there abouts again. At its best, it can beat this field.
Top Pick – La Pont
Next best – Tony’s Reward
Longshot/Value – Harry New Shoes
Race 3 – PARAGON HOTEL BM 58 HANDICAP 1200m
One Invincible Cat is the one to be on here. Last start was an very, very impressive win, retains jockey from that ride today, and, a repeat of that effort can be expected. This is an extremely talented horse and, maps nicely against this field. Snitzagirl is a clear danger to the top pick here. Has shown incredible closing speed previously and last start win was very eye catching. Has its work cut out for it today, but, can steal this one. Two starts back at Cowan, Atum was an eye catching winner, since then, dropped off last tow races in non-competitive fashion, gets a shot at redemption here and the in-form apprentice Robbie Dolan has the ride. Win wouldn’t shock.
Top Pick – One Invincible Cat
Next Best – Snitzagirl
Longshot – Atum
Race 4 – KELLYS IRISH PUB CLASS 3 HANDICAP 1400m
Western Parade is one that stands out here. Impressive during third first-up last jump and, has shown equally good closing speed. Comes in nicely at the weights here today, getting a good edge on the odds on favourite here. Can get over nicely and hold its own here. Abberation can’t be denied here, best ride of the day for Chad Lever, who has stepped up his game of late. Winner at distance, but, untested at class. Has the ability. Black Platinum hasn’t won for quite some time, over twelve months to be precise, and, despite that lack of winning form, does map well for this race. Drawn the rail for a gun run, and, will look to get in the lead and dictate the pace, if Dolan can do this – could be hard to track down.
Top Pick – Western Parade
Next Best – Aberration
Longshot – Black Platinum
Race 5 – 99 ON MORTIMER MAIDEN PLATE 1400m
Probably one of the harder races of the day here. The current favourite Helsun was just so disappointing on debut, that, it shouldn’t not be anywhere near as short as it is today – especially against a more competitive field. The one that does catch the eye here in the Michael Cahill ride in Our Celtic Star. The Star Witness gelding has the speed to close this one out, has drawn the rail and will be able to race as it chooses. Has the ability here. Silk Topper must be included here, in what is an extremely open race. Knocking on the door over its last two starts, Silk Topper enjoys the distance and will be right there again. Value here could be in the Bobby El-Issa ride, Miss Breffni. Strips fitter after rider two weeks ago, has been close previously and has the ability. A win wouldn’t shock.
Top Pick – Our Celtic Star
Next Best – Silk Topper
Longshot – Miss Breffni
Race 6 – XXXX GOLD MUDGEE MUG 1400m
Go The Gantry has shown enough that it is the one to beat here. Greg Ryan takes the ride here and has drawn a little wide, but, Go The Gantry has the early speed to overcome this. Expected to run on strongly here and is the one to beat. Jamie Gibbons has her best ride of the day here on A Magic Zariz. In equal company todya, and won at this class and distance previously, drawn well and has claims here. Legistation can’t be overlooked here today. Multiple winner over this distance against better competition at city tracks as well. Steps back here from those wins and is looking to regain some form after trying to run at shorter trips that didn’t suit. One of the chances here.
Top Pick – Go The Gantry
Next Best – A Magic Zariz
Longshot – Legistation
Race 7 – RYLSTONE HOTEL BM 58 HANDICAP 1600m
African Guy was extremely disappointing last start, and, as such, the trainers have decided to drop the class and put the gelding at a favourable distance. Needs to run better today, and, will have every chance against this field. Rates well. Cuban Lass has run a few times over the last few weeks and, can only be better for it. Drops significantly in class here today and has every chance to get that win the old mare is hunting for. Will be right in this one. Not For Export is another that missed its chance as a favourite not too long ago, and the trainers are dropping it sharply in class here today. Has the ability here and a win wouldn’t shock.
Top Pick – African Guy
Next Best – Cuban Lass
Longshot/Value – Not For Export
Bet Chimps Racing Double – One Invincible Cat to win in to Humboldt to win @ $9.10/+810 on BetEasy
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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.
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