The Punters Guide returns after a little break. We have a few competitive races at Tamworth today – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE
Race 1 – TAB.COM.AU MAIDEN PLATE 1000m
Due to a bevvy of early morning scratchings, the door has been left wide open for Maui Princess to get the win here. Best form, top rated jockey and drawn well for this one and will be hard to beat. Watch Dat Stinger is the best of the rest here, showed something when running on fourth on debut, and, a run similar to that could be enough here at a soft Tamworth track. Onyar rounds out the rest of the chances here in what really reads as a one horse race. Onyar has the draw and the in form Bogenhuber in the saddle. One to watch today.
Top Pick – Maui Princess
Next best – Watch Dat Stinger
Longshot – Onyar
Race 2 – CELLARBRATIONS TAMWORTH MAIDEN 1400m
Londinium should be able to round out an early morning favourite double in the opening two races here again after a bevvy of early morning scratchings. Will need sharp improvement on last start ninth, but, is getting the benefit of the doubt here again today and should be able to best this rather soft field. Le Faberge is the next best here and is a real hopeful in this one if the favourite has another disappointing run. Two starts back ran an eye catching second, and, anything close to that effort will be enough here today. One of the chances. Night Manager rounds out the hopefuls in this one. Despite there being a short priced favourite, in today’s conditions, those that run better on squishy ground tend to do better and Night Manager is one of those, despite the poor record thus far, must be included.
Top Pick – Londinium
Next Best – Le Faberge
Longshot – Night Manager
Race 3 – CARLTON MID CLASS 3 HANDICAP 1600m
La Biere Choisie has an incredibly difficult name for the race caller, but, has the best chance here for bettors today. Ran well on softer going previously, retains jockey from strong showing on soft over similar distance, will be appreciative of the extra half furlong here today. One to beat. Our Winnie can’t be looked over either, impressive type with Ben Looker in the saddle. Will be right in this. Emvepee is one that could upset here today. Winner on soft previously and shows a good turn of foot only when the going is more lenient, a win certainly wouldn’t shock here.
Top Pick – La Biere Choisie
Next Best – Our Winnie
Longshot – Emvepee
Race 4 – SHAY BRENNAN TAMWORTH RUSH 1000m
Aimalac Lillie is a significant dropper in class today and has the top jockey for this race on board. Ben Looker won’t want to miss this opportunity despite their being stiff competition in Just A Bullet, who happens to be our next best – and these two paired in a quinella, could be on the money today. Mambo Fever is another that shouldn’t be discredited either, only wins on heavy or soft, and gets its chance today to end a long drought of two years without a win.
Top Pick – Aimalac Lillie
Next Best – Just A Bullet
Longshot – Mambo Fever
Race 5 – COREYS CATERING BM 58 HANDICAP 1200m
Epic Event is one of the top rated runners in this race, and, the odds are surprising somewhat today. Coming in fresh today, and has placed twice on three first up runs, has the ability to beat this field at its best. I Wear Prada was an impressive winner over this distance last start and, gets its shot at repeating that again today against a field that lacks top end speed. Could run on the pace today, and, has the closing sectionals to suggest it can best this field. Balantes is an outside hopeful here. Cumberland has ridden previously and, despite running in fifth last start, it was impressive when cutting through traffic to close late, bit more luck today and could be right there running lighter.
Top Pick – Epic Event
Next Best – I Wear Prada
Longshot – Balantes
Race 6 – THE DURI PEAK BM 66 HANDICAP 1400m
Emily’s Song steps up slightly in class, but, previous runs show that there is nothing to suggest that this should have a negative effect today. Impressive second over six furlongs at Scone last up and looked like it wanted more – gets that today and should be right in it. Prontissimo is the next best here and is another that looks more suited to seven furlongs. Has the natural ability to win this, just needs to find its best today. Royal Villa is one that has won at this track previously and has been tested at this range, at its best, it has the best closing furlong speed in the race and if in cover, can come on strong late. Must be included.
Top Pick – Emily’s Song
Next Best – Prontissimio
Longshot – Royal Villa
Race 7 – GOODWIN KENNY CLASS 2 HANDICAP 1000m
Going with the best ride for Graham here today in Lookin’ Alive. Impressive since returning from spell and can get another win here today. Has been consistent since return and being third up today is ready to peak. Social is the next best here, and is undefeated on first up efforts. If residual fitness is there, nothing to suggest that it can’t maintain that 100% first up record. Golden Legacy may not be a longshot, but, it is great value with Ben Looker in the saddle here today. Ben Looker is yet to lose on Golden Legacy going 2/2 starts, has every chance for the combined hat-trick here today.
Top Pick – Lookin’ Alive
Next Best – Social
Longshot/Value – Golden Legacy
Bet Chimps Racing Double – La Biere Choisie to win in to Epic Event to place @ $6.61/+561 on BetEasy
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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.
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