The Punters Guide returns after a break. We have a strong list of competitive races for the Moonee Valley Punters Guide today – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE
Race 1 – BIG SWING GOLF HANDICAP 1600m
Naantali may have disappointed a lot by not crossing the line first – but, it still can’t be taken away that it ran a good race, it just got out strategised coming down the straight. Today – the field doesn’t have that same type of top end speed that Miss Siska had when closing out the race last start, and that only strengthens the claims of Naantali here. Pleasuring is dropping in class here, and, at the Valley, you can never count a Weir trained horse out, especially with in-form apprentice, Ethan Brown in the saddle. Expect a bold run. Moscow Red is the value point in this race. Ran impressively last start when winning over a similar distance. Steps up slightly in class, but, is capable of a big run here. One to keep an eye on.
Top Pick – Naantali
Next Best – Pleasuring
Longshot/Value – Moscow Red
Race 2 – HORSE GYM AUSTRALIA HANDICAP 1600m
Snitzepeg will be forgiven for last race here when running in to traffic, missing its opportunity and fading out of the race due to a poor in race decision. One of the more talented sprinters in the race, and, at its best, can run the closing sectionals required to win this. Dropping in class and, while the weight is a little more than you would like, has the ability here. Royal Ace steps up in class here today, but, is great value at current quote. Won last race and gets winning jockey from last effort today. The Weir/Rawiller duo can’t be overlooked here. Curragh comes back to Victoria after a little stint up in NSW, and, finds a beatable field here today. Drops in class, Julius gets the ride with claim and can be competitive here.
Top Pick – Snitzepeg
Next Best – Royal Ace
Longshot – Curragh
Race 3 – 1PRINT HANDICAP 1500m
Despite there being a clear value on tote right now, this is one of the more open and competitive races of the day. Based on current form and finishing times, it is hard to look past the current tote favourite at time of writing in Approach Discreet. Winner of last two and won over seven furlongs and nine furlongs, has the ability to mix its distances, and, looks suited by seven and half here today. Will be hard to beat. Next best here is in the next form horse, being ridden by Luke Nolen in Muswellbrook. Muswellbrook won over this distance prior to spell, ran impressively first up at Flemington, and, finds a similar field here today that can be beaten. Expect a bold run here. Visao could be the value point here. Winner of last two starts, but, drawn wide and will need to work harder early. If drawn better, may have rated on top, but, still must be included here.
Top Pick – Approach Discreet
Next Best – Muswellbrook
Longshot – Visao
Race 4 – HARROLDS HANDICAP 2040m
Yogi is beginning to warm up this prep, running on super impressively last start when grabbing second, only missing the win by a whisker against Plein Ceil. Finds a field that maps similar to last and will be missing that premier runner the last run had. Will be hard to beat here second up. Trap For Fools needs to be included after earning the right to be with impressive win last start. In the right class here at the right distance and retains winning jockey from last effort. Ticks a lot of boxes and will be one of the chances here. Pacodali disappointed last start, and, at current quote, must be included in the chances as it is a good value point when at its best. Has performed much stronger than last race and maps well for this one, weight is a concern, but, powerful gait can overcome this with claim from Ethan Brown riding.
Top Pick – Yogi
Next Best – Trap For Fools
Longshot – Pacodali
Race 5 – MITTYS MCEWEN STAKES 1000m
Not much needs to be said about this race, Nature Strip is the horse of the moment, in a small field over the trip that suits, everything is pointing in the right direction here for the Nicconi gelding that is putting it all together now. Of the runners that stand a chance to topple the top pick, Shoals is one of those, but, after Shoals, there isn’t any that have the top end speed that can match the top pick. If in this small field Nature Strip does happen to hit trouble – Qullista is another that could capitalise, but, will need a lot of luck.
Top Pick – Nature Strip
Next Best – Shoals
Longshot – Quillista
Race 6 – LADBROKES ATLANTIC JEWEL STAKES 1200m
Thrillster can capitalise here second up today. Has shown good speed when first up last run when grabbing third, second up here today and strips fitter for it. Winner at distance and has placed at track previously. Has the ability here. The class dropper Spanish Whisperer is hard to discount here. First up, winner first up previously and coming back after 182 days on the sidelines. Fresh record hard to look past. Assertive Play has not been away from the track for too long (70-days), and, is unbeaten first up like others. With residual fitness here, can surprise. Expect a bold run with Williams in the saddle.
Top Pick – Thrillster
Next Best – Spanish Whisperer
Longshot – Assertive Play
Race 7 – STRATHMORE BENDIGO BANK STAKES 1200m
Land Of Plenty gets the nod here, second up and fitter for last effort when running on strong to get second. At the right distance here, gets a jockey change and runs one kilogram lighter here. Will be hard to keep out. Mr.Sneaky is one that we have followed here at Bet Chimps for a while, and, is second up here today over its peak distance, however, second-up, Mr.Sneaky has always fallen a little flat. Taking here in this race in hope that it has figured out second up. Iconoclasm could be the value point, while not at double digits, is one of those horses that when it turns up – it can run with the best of them. Finishing third first-up, unbeaten second-up though, and, will be able to compete here today coming in light.
Top Pick – Land Of Plenty
Next Best – Mr.Sneaky
Longshot/Value – Iconoclasm
Race 8 – DATO’ TAN CHIN NAM STAKES 1600m
Night’s Watch was impressive when running on strong this time last week against a similar group of runners. Will have a couple more talented in this field though. This horse has shown great turn of foot and this distance is optimal today. Expected to be among the winners. Hartnell can’t be discredited when fighting on gamely on the rail last start and pushing for a minor. Really tough and gritty performance and, anything similar to that could be enough here. Bonneval can’t be overlooked here either. Impressive winner at Caulfield when beating Hartnell last year, first-up today after almost a year away from racing. Great first-up record and a win wouldn’t shock today.
Top Pick – Night’s Watch
Next Best – Hartnell
Longshot – Bonneval
Race 9 – POWERFLO SOLUTIONS CRAIG OPIE CUP 1600m
This can be considered the most difficult leg of the quadrella here. Such an open race here with a good handful of horses that have legitimate claims. The Dunn combination here though on Divine Unicorn, is too hard to look past. Impressive winner first-up and has a 50% strike rate when second up (2 1-1). Coming to Moonee Valley for the first time could be a query here, but, has the ability. Moss’N’Dale is the next here that can’t be discredited. Last run third was impressive on the straight when fighting on gamely. Would have preferred a little more distance here than eight furlongs, but, must be included here. John Allen brought out the best in Gallic Chieftain when winning the only time he has been in the saddle. Returns here today, as the top weighted runner, however dropping in class more than makes up for the weight, which isn’t overly great. Distance is a question mark, as Gallic Chieftain has shown its best at ten or more furlongs. However, fresh here and will be right in this one.
Top Pick – Divine Unicorn
Next Best – Miss’N’Dale
Longshot – Gallic Chieftain
Bet Chimps Racing Double – Naantali to win in to Yogi to place @ $5.25/+425 on BetEasy
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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.
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