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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Flemington


Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia (Moonee Valley Punters Guide)

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

It has been a bit of a spell between Punters Guide publishings, but, we are back today, and ready to go for the big card at Flemington. Looking for plays – we have you covered here. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – The Carbine Club Stakes 1600m
Wild Planet is a clear danger in this one, and, with the rail being true today – it suits horses that are not going to be leading a little better. That wide turn down the Flemington straight will really open the field up for horses running behind the lead pack – this is where it comes down to closing speed, and Ranier has a slight edge over Wild Planet in this department, despite splitting races against one another – the one time that Wild Planet won – it was because Ranier got stuck for most of the straight and still only just missed out. Ranier will be too strong today. Of the others, value could be had in Secret Blaze, who will be running at the lead, and, if a gap is created has the ability to hold it.

Top Pick – Ranier
Next Best – Wild Planet
Longshot – Secret Blaze

TOP PICK
Flemington Punters Guide

Race 2 – Mumm Wakeful Stakes 2000m

Verry Elleegant is where all the money is today currently. So, with the amount of money backing this horse – it wouldn’t be a shock if it loses – however, it won’t. Another one of the Weir standouts this spring, keeps John Allen in the saddle who managed to just scrape the win out last start. Expecting to see another close finish here as there are a lot of even horses in the speed department here, but, Verry Elleegant heads the list. Next Best will be El Dorado Dreaming, who was a little disappointing last start, but, will be better for the fitness. Will go close. The value point in this race will be Tysonic, who has been very easy on the eye last two starts and makes first trip to the ten furlong marker. Previous efforts suggest it should handle it and current listed price is good value.

Top Pick – Verry Ellegant
Next Best – El Dorado Dreaming
Longshot – Tysonic

TOP PICK
Flemington Punters Guide
Race 3 – The Tab Stakes 1200m

Runson is the quickest horse in this race, with a ton of early speed, and enough speed through the middle stages, this horse is going to be extremely hard to beat if at its best. Osbourne Bulls is the next best here that has some serious closing speed that could be enough to catch Runson if able to get the lead. However, the awkward barrier for Osbourne Bulls will mean a very wide run to come home, the Flemington straight is long, which helps – but, Runson is in a world of his own at the moment. So Si Bon can fill in the exotics here, as a former top level runner dropping back to a beatable class.

Top Pick – Runson
Next Best – Osbourne Bulls
Longshot – So Si Bon

Top Pick
Flemington Punters Guide

Race 4 – Lexus Stakes 2500m

Craig Williams and Sixties Groove are a strong duo here. In impressive form, and last start win was a good enough indicator to suggest a competitive effort again here today. Against better horses here, but, a definite chance and value at listed quotes. Jameeh is another horse that is full of potential, which showed in last start win with Zahra as the jockey. Distance a non issue here, as longer the better it seems for Jameeh. Value point here goes to the Waller trained and McDonald ridden, Brimham Rocks. Impressive type that is always close. Win wouldn’t shock.

Top Pick – Sixties Groove
Next Best – Jameeh
Longshot/Value – Brimham Rocks

TOP PICK
Flemington Punters Guide

Race 5 – Coolmore Stud Stakes 1200m

Zousain was gallant in defeat last start when just losing by a whisker to standout young gun, The Autumn Sun, this reads well for this race, as all the late speed will be with Zousain. Written By will likely say, catch me if you can – which is definitely something that Zousain is more than capable of doing. The value marker in the race should the top two fail, will be with the Lean Mean Machine, who will likely put in a flashy finish chasing the lead horses. This race will have a lot of late speed, and, if Written By hasn’t built a strong enough lead – he could be in trouble from a strong group of swoopers.

Top Pick – Zousain
Next Best – Written By
Longshot – Lean Mean Machine

TOP PICK
Flemington Punters Guide

Race 6 – Empire Rose Stakes 1600m

Invincibella has drawn poorly for this race, however, will enjoy the long straight as shown when winning at this track two starts back, with the winning jockey riding again today. Loves racing at Flemington and is yet to do worse than a top three finish. Has the best closing sectionals and should prove hard to beat here. Oohood was an impressive winner two starts back against some classy horses, an effort similar to that, and, it could prove value at current listed quote. Williams has opted for Oohood over Amphitrite in this one – and, surprisingly so. Despite others being favoured here, Amphitrite just can’t be denied, these absolute bullet runs from the back of the field to steal wins is becoming a bit of a trademark for this filly. Expect the same again here today.

Top Pick – Invincibella
Next Best – Oohood
Longshot/Value – Apmhitrite

TOP PICK
Flemington Punters Guide

Race 7 – Aami Victoria Derby 2500m

Thinking Big’s last win was super impressive, the question remains to be answered if that type of run can be sustained over this distance, as it wil need to be against a field of classy horses that enjoy late runs. One that looms as a real danger here is Stars Of Carrum, who sustained a long push to get the win by a small margin at the Valley last start. Stars Of Carrum looked to be able to push on further when winning that race which reads well here. Extra Brut can be forgiven for last run when just get caught in transit and never really being able to find a way through. Will have a wide barrier draw but, will look to sit behind the lead horses in a more favourable position. Has shown a good turn of foot previuosly and will be right in this one.

Top Pick – Thinking Big
Next Best – Stars Of Carrum
Longshot – Extra Brut

TOP PICK
Flemington Punters Guide

Race 8 – Kennedy Mile 1600m

Land Of Plenty ticks a lot of boxes here today. Flemington with a true rail is a dream for back markers, Land Of Plenty fits that bill and has shown exceptional turn of foot so far this spring. Expecting another big finish here from the Weir runner. Main danger here is Cliff’s Edge, who will, like always push for the lead and dare the rest to catch up. If Yendall can make a slip at the right time, Cliff’s Edge may have too big a lead to track down. Value point in this race sits with Hartnell, who, at his best, can beat this field with relative ease – the only question mark with Hartnell these days, is if he is interested in doing so. Showed he still can produce his best though.

Top Pick – Land Of Plenty
Next Best – Cliff’s Edge
Longshot – Hartnell

TOP PICK
Flemington Punters Guide
Race 9 – Furphy Sprint 1100m

From Within is look for five straight here today – finds decent competition from I Am Excited. From Within is proven at this range and has shown a great turn of foot this prep. I Am Excited too, has also shown good agility over the closing furlong, but, a slight edge goes to From Within. Massive value today is in Showpero, who was impressive when winning at Balaklava last start, and, despite a considerable jump in grade – should be competitive here at current listed price of $81.

Top Pick – From Within
Next Best – I Am Excited
Longshot – Showpero

TOP PICK
Flemington Punters Guide

Quaddie for the meet
Race 6 – 2/13/15
Race 7 – 1/3/4
Race 8 – 1/4/11
Race 9 – 4/7/10
$81 returns 100% with BetEasy

Best Bet – Land Of Plenty Race 8 @ $4.80 on BetEasy
Next Best – Zousain Race 5 @ $4.00 on BetEasy
Longshot – Invincibella Race 6 @ $10.00 on BetEasy

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Land Of Plenty to place in to Zousain to win @ $7.80/+680 on BetEasy

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Moonee Valley


Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia (Moonee Valley Punters Guide)

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

It has been a bit of a spell between Punters Guide publishings, but, we are back today, and ready to go for the big card at Hawkesbury. Looking for plays – we have you covered here. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – Lucrf Super Handicap 1000m

Interesting race here to start the night. A rather open affair on paper, all horses are very closely matched, however, Final Choice gets the nod here. Last two wins were impressive and, closed out both of those races with impressive sectionals. Comes in at a good weight, may have drawn a little wide, but, will push forward quickly and be hard to beat. Propelle is a true chance here. Despite poor first up history, has shown an ability to finish strong, and, will look to do so again here, racing behind the lead pack. In the mix. Sacred Sword has been impressive when grabbing second on both career starts. Will be unperturbed by the big crowd and will run well. Win wouldn’t shock.

Top Pick – Final Choice
Next Best – Propelle
Longshot – Sacred Sword

TOP PICK
Moonee Valley Punters Guide

Race 2 – The Westin Melbourne Handicap 2040m

Pleasuring was rather disappointing last start despite grabbing a minor. Finds a field slightly more competitive here, but, will be better for last run. Unproductive at the track, but, lethal over the distance, winning two of four starts. Maps well here and will give benefit of the doubt. Michael Walker and Pierrocity are clear dangers here. Placed previously over 2100m only just missing the win on that occasion. Possess good race fitness and will be in the mix here. Lopartega is the value point here. Dwayne Dunn has the ride, who has been a consistent jockey at Moonee Valley this spring. Lopartega has drawn a little wide, but, will need to run on pace to account for the short straight at the Valley.

Top Pick – Pleasuring
Next Best – Pierrocity
Longshot – Lopartega

TOP PICK
Moonee Valley Punters Guide

Race 3 – Chandler Macleod Vobis Gold Star 1500m

Widgee Turf is the one to be on here. Dropping in class, will need to carry 60kgs for it, but, is the best horse in this field. Strong finisher, sectionals suggest a quick finish, drawn well, but, will drop back early on. Late strider that will be hard to keep at bay if Zahra can find a seam. Iconoclasm would be the top pick here, if not for being consistently inconsistent. Current favourite at time of writing, and, will more than likely be that at jump. Iconoclasm has his followers, but, needs to keep up with last races efforts to be in this one. Nangawooka won for us here three starts back at big odds ($15), and is double that value here today. Jumps sharply in class, but, this horse thrives in stronger surroundings. Expect a bold finish.

Top Pick – Widgee Turf
Next Best – Iconoclasm
Longshot – Nangawooka

TOP PICK
Moonee Valley Punters Guide

Race 4 – Msc Signs Handicap 2040m

Zahspeed, at its best – is better than any other runner in this race. Multiple winner at this distance, winner at class and has had most success on the going expected tonight. Drawn perfectly on the rail and will look to push forward and lead from start to finish. Good value and over the odds. The Lord Mayor is another that can’t be denied here. Winner of two from four at this range, dropping back in distance which suits, as it was racing out of its depth last two starts. Expect a better effort here. Mr.Garcia could be the value point here. Impressive type that is always there abouts. Winner at range and John Allen is yet to lose on the 6-year-old gelding. Definite danger.

Top Pick – Zahspeed
Next Best – Lord Mayor
Longshot – Mr.Garcia

TOP PICK
Moonee Valley Punters Guide

Race 5 – Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge Ht3 955m

Esperance is the form horse in this race. Winner of last two, winner at distance but, stepping up slightly in class. However, speed over the short distances suggests that Esperance will be first past the post. Hugh Bowman is 2/2 in the saddle, and, will be looking to complete the hat-trick here today. Biggest danger will be in Prezado, a horse that has a ton of potential, but, rarely actualizes it on race days. Grabbed a minor on two of three starts after spell, and will have race fitness headed into this one. True chance. Essence Of Terror could be a good option here as well, fast start, and, will look to go straight to the front at the start – but will have a lot of company and will need a good start from the wide barrier to achieve that. If not overworked early on – will be right in this one.

Top Pick – Esperance
Next Best – Prezado
Longshot – Essence Of Terror

TOP PICK
Moonee Valley Punters Guide

Race 6 – Sweeney Estate Agents Handicap 1200m

Runson was super impressive when winning last start over the five furlongs, has an extra furlong to deal with today which could be a question mark. Stephen Baster is returning for the ride after strong win last start. Runson is yet to win over this distance and is more suited to the five, but, will get benefit of the doubt here over the six furlong marker. Captain Punch has drawn awkwardly, but, is another one of those horses that is going to be right in this one. Will look to start fast and push for the early lead, has the stamina to go from post-to-post here and a win wouldn’t be out of turn. Stellar Collision is another one that can’t be denied here in a very competitive field. Winner at track and distance previously, winner at class and a consistent performer when fresh. Expect a bold showing.

Top Pick – Runson
Next Best – Captain Punch
Longshot – Star Collision

TOP PICK
Moonee Valley Punters Guide

Race 7 – Ladbrokes Manikato Stakes 1200m

Sunlight despite not being overly exposed to this kind of a race, is the one to beat here. Riding extremely light and ready to fly. Drawn a gun run, will bolt to the lead out of the gate and be hard to track down. This 3-year-old filly has that something special, and, much like Redzel, is one of those horses that excels when in front. One to beat. Voodoo Lad can’t be discounted here. Winner at this track and distance on two from two starts, has shown great late speed previously and is a much better chaser than leader. Expect a bold finish. Malaguerra is just the type of horse that loves to upset big races. Done it many times before, has been rested to be fresh just for this race. At its best – can win here. First up record is very eye watering and will be competitive here.

Top Pick – Sunlight
Next Best – Voodoo Lad
Longshot – Malaguerra

TOP PICK
Moonee Valley Punters Guide

Race 8 – Mitchelton Wines Handicap 1500m

Tamasa is the one to be on here. Impressive winner last two starts, has shown a great turn of foot this prep and rates on top as best of the day. Won two of three starts at this distance, steps up slightly in class, but, has the speed and ability to win this one. One to beat. Kings Command can’t be looked over either. Get’s its normal jockey Ben Thompson back in the saddle here today and, the duo have combined to win at this range and class previously. Dropping in class and carrying a little bit of weight, but, will be right in this one. Call It A Day could be the value point here. Winner three times on five starts at this distance, finds a race similar to last win and can win this.

Top Pick – Tamasa
Next Best – Kings Command
Longshot/Value – Call It A Day

TOP PICK
Moonee Valley Punters Guide

Quaddie for the meet
Race 5 – 2/5/6
Race 6 – 2/10/12
Race 7 – 3/4/14
Race 8 – 1/5/8
$81 returns 100% with BetEasy

Best Bet – Tamasa Race 8 @ $2.60 on BetEasy
Next Best – Esperance Race 5 @ $3.00 on BetEasy
Longshot – Zahspeed Race 4 @ $15.00 on BetEasy

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Esperance to win in to Tamasa to win @ $7.20/+620 on BetEasy

Remember to follow Bet Chimps on social media below!
Twitter – @bet_chimps
Instagram – @betchimps
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Gambling is for 18+ only. If you think you have a gambling addiction, please, contact the gambling hotline on 1800 858 858

***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

Sign Up to Bet Chimps for our Sport and Racing all inclusive package!

Make sure to book mark Bet Chimps for more awesome and free Punters Guide posts.

Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Hawkesbury

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia (Hawkesbury Punters Guide)

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

It has been a bit of a spell between Punters Guide publishings, but, we are back today, and ready to go for the big card at Hawkesbury. Looking for plays – we have you covered here. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – Arcadia Entertainment Maiden 1000m

Tye Angland has been racing like a man possessed of late, and, he is in a position here, where he is expected to continue his hot form on the Godolphin trained runner – Evict. Coming in fresh after a lengthy break, prior to that ran on a game second with Angland in the saddle. Finds an easier field here and should be hard to beat. Magnolia Power is the main danger here. Lees has said previously that he expects this horse to go through the classes soon, and, this could be the first step in the right direction. Impurity could be the value point here. Coming in off a layoff but, solid form prior to that. Jason Collett enjoys the Hawkesbury track and a win wouldn’t shock.

Top Pick – Evict
Next Best – Magnolia Power
Longshot – Impurity

TOP PICK
Hawkesbury Punters Guide

Race 2 – Daily Press Cg&e Class 1 Handicap 1400m

Mark Newnham looks to continue his strong spring campaign here with an early Hawkesbury winner on Shouson, who has been in good form heading into this race. Koby Jennings has the ride and the pair combined for an impressive win against a similar field last start. Drawn better than last start and should be in the mix here. Show Me The Honey is the other short priced runner here, and has legitimate claims. Impressive second last start, Hutchings returns to the saddle, the weight is a concern, but, has a strong enough gait to overcome this. Chamfer is the value point in this race. Winner at the track last start with Spriggs on board, won with ease, and, shouldn’t find the extra half furlong any trouble. Win wouldn’t shock here.

Top Pick – Shouson
Next Best – Show Me The Honey
Longshot/Value – Chamfer

TOP PICK
Hawkesbury Punters Guide

Race 3 – Coca-cola Amatil Maiden Handicap 1300m

A debutant Snitzel runner has caught the eye today. Josh Parr will take the honours on the first mount here on Wokurna. Drawn a little awkwardly here but, will be right in this one. Training reports suggest it will run on the heels of the lead runners and swing home late. Watch market movement here. Stock Up is the listed favourite at the time of writing and, is coming fresh and has placed fresh previously. With a good start – will be right in this. Time Of Glory is the value point here. Placed when fresh previously, fresh again here today and drawn well enough to get a good early spot in cover. Can test these.

Top Pick – Wokurna
Next Best – Stock Up
Longshot – Time Of Glory

TOP PICK
Hawkesbury Punters Guide

Race 4 – Forever Gleam Prov & Ctry Maiden 1300m

Jonjo’s Comet is an interesting prospect here. Another Parr runner for the day here, and, has drawn a little awkwardly. Has the early pace to get out behind the lead pack and settle in. Could be hard to beat here. All The Wine is another interesting runner here in this competitive little race. Coming in with good form lines, decent enough draw, and, will look to sit midfield early on in cover. If a bit of luck can happen later on in the race – All The Wine could be hard to keep out. The favourite Wild Kingdom, can’t be denied a mention here. Drawn well, will have gear changes and is running fresh after a considerable layoff – race fitness is the only question here.

Top Pick – Jonjo’s Comet
Next Best – All The Wine
Longshot/Value – Wild Kingdom

TOP PICK
Hawkesbury Punters Guide
Race 5 – Bsg Benchmark 64 Handicap 1100m

Natalia was super impressive when winning on debut by 2.8L. Comes in today after a long spell of 166-days and will be expected to run well again here at this distance. Last win was over the five furlongs and will be hitting five and a half today. Drawn wide, but, has a great amount of late speed to recover the ground she is expected to relinquish early. One to beat. Jexerlent has dropped in class significantly for this race to get back on form. However, comes in at the weights unfavourably to do so. Unbeaten at track and distance, and is a winner at this class previously. Win won’t shock here. Dream I Can is the best of the rest here. Adkins has the ride and, is another significant class dropper here. Has shown great turn of foot before and is yet to be out of the money at track and distance.

Top Pick – Natalia
Next Best – Jexerlent
Longshot – Dream I Can

TOP PICK
Hawkesbury Punters Guide

Race 6 – Hawkesbury Living Maiden Plate 1500m

Merican ran an eye catching second last start, and, running near that level again here today would be more than enough in what maps as a softer race. Main danger here looms in Saintly Sunrise, who is the current listed favourite. Coming in on the back of a fourth that doesn’t sound impressive but, was against a stronger field of runners and made up a lot of ground late. Will be in the minors at worst here. Timeless Melody is a non winner after fifteen starts, and, today is as tough an assignment as ever. Runs better when the ground is a little churned and gets that here today. A good start and a bit of luck in the middle stages and Timeless Melody could finally break that duck

Top Pick – Merican
Next Best – Saintly Sunrise
Longshot – Timeless Melody

TOP PICK
Hawkesbury Punters Guide

Race 7 – Richmond Club Group F&m Class 1 1400m

Segalas is the best of the day here – but, not a great deal of value to be had. Impressive runner coming in on the back of a blistering win as odds on last start, odds on again here today and will prove hard to beat. Of the others, Song And A Prayer and Cuban Sizzle are the main dangers, but, it would take a very poor ride for Segalas to not ebat this field.

Top Pick – Segalas
Next Best – Song And A Prayer
Longshot/Value – Cuban Sizzle

TOP PICK
Hawkesbury Punters Guide

Race 8 – Livamol Class 2 Handicap 1800m

Mohican and Kathy O’Hara are a dangerous combo, hitting the minors on all four of their last four runs together. Both have combined for a win previously, and, after a prep of knocking on the door – should be right in the mix again today, and, will hopefully be able to get over that bump. Rated on top. Devil’s Lair disappointed first-up last start when barely avoiding finishing last. Second up today, and is a winner second up previously. Needs sharp improvement on last start – but is capable of doing so. Godunov can’t be denied here, unbeaten in two runs at the track, winner at class, main question mark here is the distance. Would have rated on top if it wasn’t at a distance that could be out of its range – today is the test.

Top Pick – Mohican
Next Best – Devils Lair
Longshot/Value – Godnuov

TOP PICK
Hawkesbury Punters Guide

Best Bet – Natalia Race 5 @ $2.20 on BetEasy
Next Best – Shouson Race 2 @ $3.10 on BetEasy
Longshot – Weidman 8 @ $19.00 on BetEasy

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Natalia to win in to Mohican to place @ $4.92/+392 on BetEasy

Remember to follow Bet Chimps on social media below!
Twitter – @bet_chimps
Instagram – @betchimps
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Gambling is for 18+ only. If you think you have a gambling addiction, please, contact the gambling hotline on 1800 858 858

***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

Sign Up to Bet Chimps for our Sport and Racing all inclusive package!

Make sure to book mark Bet Chimps for more awesome and free Punters Guide posts.

Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Kilmore

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia (Kilmore Punters Guide)

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

It has been a bit of a spell between Punters Guide publishings, but, we are back today, and ready to go for the big card at Caulfield. Looking for plays – we have you covered here. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – Bet365 Sv 3yo Maiden Plate 1462m

Just missed out on claiming debut win on softer ground last start, finds a smaller field and one that maps a little easier here. Meech is in great form right now as well, and, has the best horse in the race, which also happens to be my best of the day at Kilmore. Do You Reckon will push out of the gate fast, and, I expect Quality Approach to sit on his heels. Late speed advantage sits with Meech here, one to beat.

Top Pick – Quality Approach
No Next Best – No Third Dividend

TOP PICK
Kilmore Punters Guide

Race 2 – North Central Review 3yo Fillies 1212m

Gossip showed great improvement last start under Jye McNeil, and will be in a race where it figures to be one of the top chances. Last race, finished strongly and will appreciate the extra distance here. Main danger comes in the favourite Polished Diamond, but, if Gossip can sit in cover early, will be hard to keep at bay here. Polished Diamond can’t be denied here, one of the top three in this race and, will have every chance to get that maiden win here after coming very close last start. Most likely to set the pace of the race, and, if Walker can build a good enough lead, may be able to hold off late challengers. She’s Our Reward could be the value runner here. Has enough race fitness headed into this one, drawn the rail and will enjoy the conditions. Win wouldn’t shock.

Top Pick – Gossip
Next Best – Polished Diamond
Longshot – She’s Our Reward

TOP PICK
Kilmore Punters Guide

Race 3 – The Bendigo Club Maiden Plate 1612m

Castle Rock has come ever so close last two starts to breaking the maiden and, finds possibly the most beatable field it has come across so far in its young career. Will drop off the pace early and try to get in cover from the mid barrier draw. Enjoys a mid tempo race, which is what we have today without and true speedsters. Expected to win. Of the others, Perfect Pony and Miss Caboose have upset potential, but, this is Castle Rocks race to lose.

Top Pick – Castle Rock
Next Best – Perfect Pony
Longshot – Miss Caboose

TOP PICK
Kilmore Punters Guide

Race 4 – Bet365 Kilmore Cup 25 November 1462m

In what maps a possible good start for favourite backers – Simply Dreaming ridden by Michael Walker rates on top here. Drawn well, the daughter of Denman will dropping off the pace early and looking to close later on. Has shown excellent late pace previously, only question mark is how well it can handle softer footing. Vibrato has had a good prep so far, grabbing multiple minors – but no win unfortunately. That could change here today if the favourite gets caught in some trouble racing from the back. Shown good turn of foot later on and will be right in this. Inala Max has history on softer going, and, Dean Holland is riding well at the moment. Drawn well and will be competitive here, slightly over the odds.

Top Pick – Simply Dreaming
Next Best – Vibrato
Longshot – Inala Max

TOP PICK
Kilmore Punters Guide

Race 5 – Cub Bm58 Handicap 1462m

Macstryker may not be running in the greatest form, but, at its best, has shown excellent turn of foot, has a strong gait to make up for the softer going in this one, and the late sectionals to suggest it can win, if at its best. Drawn well and will look to get cover early on and finish strong. Top chance. Amschel has drawn the rail, has the best form and is dropping in class targeting the win here. Distance suits and will be on pace throughout. If stamina is there, will win. Diamond Beauty could be the value point here. Recent form impressive, soft ground and distance are questions marks here. Has the speed to suggest a competitive run – but, others favoured.

Top Pick – Macstryker
Next Best – Amschel
Longshot/Value – Diamond Beauty

TOP PICK
Kilmore Punters Guide

Race 6 – Jet Roofing Bm58 Handicap 1112m

Missandei has been racing well this prep. Has hit four minors on nine tries at this range, and, will be looking to move across early on from the squeeze gate. Mid race is where Missandei will suggest a win or not – if she is running faster through the mid sections and can lead or be near it – she will be hard to beat. No Reward can’t be denied here, winner two starts back and winner at this distance and class. If No Reward does not over work early as it tends to, will be the main danger here. Royal Pegasus is the value point here, dropping in class significantly, with race fitness under its belt, and drawn well. Win wouldn’t shock.

Top Pick – Missandei
Next Best – No Reward
Longshot – Royal Pegasus

TOP PICK
Kilmore Punters Guide

Race 7 – Beraldo Coffee Bm58 Handicap 2112m

Hezaforce has a great chance here to repeat the success of the run two starts back. SHowed great speed when coming from mid bpack to burst through for the win. Last start can be forgiven when running in to trouble mid race and losing ground that couldn’t be made up. Expected to go better here and will be one of the chances. Skyfire may have a few more boxes ticked than the top pick, including a solid last start win. Unbeaten at track and distance and winner at distance last start carrying a monstrous 70.0kgs. Expected to go well again today. She’s A Diplomat has won and placed at this range on two attempts, shown the stamina and gait needed for today’s conditions. Running lighter and will be competitive.

Top Pick – Hezaforce
Next Best – Skyfire
Longshot/Value – She’s A Diplomat

TOP PICK
Kilmore Punters Guide

Race 8 – Hanson Cleaning Bm58 Handicap 1612m

The Wild Cat showed great form last start when winning over a shorter trip – but, that win suggested a step up wouldn’t be too much of an issue. Eaton in the saddle helps at the weights, and will be one of the top chances here. Weidman at longer odds is an impressive type that enjoys this type of distance and track condition. Footing should be churned and boggy by the time this race rolls around and that only suits the last start winner who retains the jockey from that effort. True chance. Sticks can’t be discounted here, despite not being a longshot, or a value point – has run well of late and on recent form, can be in the mix here.

Top Pick – The Wild Cat
Next Best – Weidman
Longshot/Value – Sticks

TOP PICK
Kilmore Punters Guide

Best Bet – Quality Approach Race 1 @ $2.00 on BetEasy
Next Best – Simply Dreaming Race 4 @ $2.50 on BetEasy
Longshot – Weidman 8 @ $19.00 on BetEasy

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Extra Brut to win in to Khulasa to win @ $10.92/+992 on BetEasy

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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