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Counter Strike Global Offensive: ESL One Cologne 2018 Day 3

Today is day three of the ESL One Cologne 2018 Counter Strike Major. Last years winners, SK Gaming will be represented under a new name, MiBR (Made In Brazil). The red hot favourites to win the event are without a doubt – Astralis, and, the odds reflect this. With some questionable sides at this event, lets break down the day of games.

BIG v Renegades

Very unlikely match up here based of results, but, here we are. BIG outperformed in their opening game, and, fell right back into a position that everyone expected, when they got beaten by Fnatic. Renegades, have split their results as well, and, are coming in on the back of an easy 2-0 win over B.O.O.T[d]s. This one is a very even match, and the odds reflect this. If you were to go on a player for player match up however, Renegades hold the edge, with only Smooya having an edge over Nifty. Ustillo, jks, Jkaem and Azr all stepped up against B.O..O.T[d]s, if they are to replicate that type of performance, they could very well beat BIG 2-0. Home sides always play better at home however, and they could easily get at least one map in this contest. Renegades to win 2-1 is at big money – but, the smarter bet here would be to take Renegades to win.

Expected map selections
BIG select – Cache
Renegades select – Train
Left over – Inferno

Best Bet – Renegades ML @ $1.85/-118 on Unibet

MiBR v North

After getting the big upset and elimination Team Liquid, North are back on deck here against MiBR who got handled 2-0 by FaZe Clan yesterday. This is a very open match considering how poor MiBR have been performing, whether named MiBR or SK Gaming. While North are a beatable opponent, it is hard to trust MiBR to get the job done – this is a great H2H match to just leave alone, there is no edge for either side and, irrespective of map rotation, could just go either way.

No Best Bet

Astralis v G2 eSports

Astralis, are our pick to win this entire tournament, and, winning their group here against G2, will push them closer to achieving that goal. With that said, there could be a chance that Astralis throw this to try and get G2 closer to the final, as they know that they can beat the French side pretty comfortably if they want to. Xypx9, Device, Dupreeh, Magisk and gla1ve are the strongest unit right now in Counter Strike, and, a big win here will just stamp their authority over the rest of the league.

Expected map selections
G2 eSports select – Dust 2
Astralis select – Inferno
Left over – Train

Best Bet – Astralis -4.5 round handicap Map 2 @ $1.72/-139 on Unibet

ENCE v Natus Vincere

A real wildcard here, ENCE, expected by many to be one of the first eliminated, have knocked out one of the hopefuls in Mousesports yesterday and seem to be going from strength to strength. Unfortunately for ENCE, the worlds best player is on the Na’Vi roster, and he turned up big yesterday during Na’Vi’s 2-0 route of Cloud 9. Natus Vincere do at times depend on the individual brilliance of S1mple, and, he is that type of ace up the sleeve that can turn a game on its head in a split second. For ENCE, they really need to combined efforts from Aerial and Aleksib to continue, if they are to stand a realistic chance against the Ukrainians, the Finland based outfit will need to start strong.

Expected map selections
ENCE select – Dust 2
Natus Vincere select – Mirage
Left over – Train

Best Bet – Natus Vincere to win 2-0 @ $2.25/+125 on Unibet

FaZe Clan v Fnatic

Old rivals go to war once again here with FaZe Clan looking to be in better shape. Fnatic really got through due to the individual brilliance of JW yesterday, just awping down anything that moved. Today, old rivals JW and Guardian will be the main battle here, whichever one can assert dominance on awp control, will be able to win the game for their side. The support play of Niko and Cromen will need to win the duels with Krimz and Flusha – something easier said than done – but, FaZe are just in a good spot right now, despite not having Olofmeister with them.

Expected map selections
Fnatic select – Mirage
FaZe Clan select – Nuke
Left over – Inferno

Best Bet – FaZe Clan to win 2-0 @ $2.37/+137 on Unibet

Multi of the day
Astralis to win 2-0
FaZe Clan ML
Natus Vincere ML
Value – $3.00/+200 on Unibet

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Wimbledon 2018 – Best Bets Day 4

Bet Chimps are bringing you the Wimbledon 2018 – Best Bets for day three. After a successful day three that can be found here, we move on to day four. With the defending champion Roger Federer back at full strength, and not a great deal of talent on the line-up to unseat the immortal champion, it looks like it is a matter of who can beat Federer as opposed to who will win. With that said – we have targeted a few games below for the second day of Wimbldeon.

Julien Benneteau v Francis Tiafoe

Francis Tiafoe will be entering this contest absolutely beaming with confidence here after ousting the more fancied Fernando Verdasco in his last contest. Benneteau, overcame Hungarian player, Marton Fucsovics in straight sets. Both of these players have differently geared games and, while you would love this to be on clay if you were to back Tiafoe, his grass court game matches the weaknesses of Benneteau very well. Speed, spin and velocity on shots is all in favour of Tiafoe here. It may reach four sets or more, but, Tiafoe is the better player fo the two and it will be shown here.

Best Bet – Francis Tiafoe ML @ $1.85/-118 on Unibet

Juan Martin Del Potro v Feliciano Lopez

Now, we have a good match-up, both are not overly comfortable on grass, but, Del-Potro is the better of the two players here and is more than capable of beating an up and down Lopez in straight sets. The match total has been set at a very soft amount, and, it is full of value. Not much needs to be said of this match, but, our grading tools have given Del-Potro a significant edge to win by 6+ games in three sets.

Best Bet – Match Total UNDER 41.5 games @ $1.88/-116 on Unibet

Bernard Tomic v Kei Nishikori

Everyone that follows tennis – doesn’t like Bernard Tomic, and today, Japanese star, Kei Nishikori, will be doing a lot of tennis fans a big favour, when he eliminates the ever annoying presence of Bernard Tomic. The handicap here is set low for for Nishikor to cover against the lucky qualifier, and, Nishikori, despite making his return from injury, has made big strides forward in getting back to the level he was once at. That said – even at 60%, Nishikori is 7 games better than Tomic in a head to head market. Again, our tools have given Nishikori a 77% probability to win, with that being by 6+ games in three sets.

Best Bet – Kei Nishikori -3.5 handicap @ $1.84/-119 on Unibet

Multi of the round
Novak Djokovic v Hopracio Zeballos ALT Match Total UNDER 30.5
Rafael Nadal v Mikhail Kukushkin UNDER 31.5 games
Damir Dzumhur ML
Value – $3.36/+236 on Unibet

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Counter Strike Global Offensive: ESL One Cologne 2018 Day 2

Today is day two of the ESL One Cologne 2018 Counter Strike Major. Last years winners, SK Gaming will be represented under a new name, MiBR (Made In Brazil). The red hot favourites to win the event are without a doubt – Astralis, and, the odds reflect this. With some questionable sides at this event, lets break down the day of games.

Team Liquid v North

If Liquid play anywhere near the level that they did yesterday, this will be a quick 2-0 for North, who almost pulled off the improbable comeback on Inferno against Fnatic after being on the losing side of a 12-3 half, to finish 16-14 losers. Liquid on the other hand, were thoroughly handled by local team BIG, 16-7 on Dust 2 with only Elige looking like he came to the event to play – at one stage, having more total frags than the rest of the Liquid line-up. However, it looked like a strategic move by Liquid in order to drop down to the lower bracket and aim for a potentially easier run to the finals. North are no easy beats, and, the loser is going home. Team Liquid will more than likely want to avoid Dust 2 here as it is one of North’s stronger maps.

Expected map selections:
Team Liquid select – Mirage
North select – Nuke
Left Over – Overpass

With this trio of maps – it looks like it could very much be a three map contest. It really depends on whether or not an interested Team Liquid come to play.

Best Bet – Match Total OVER 2.5 Maps @ $1.85/-118 on Unibet

Renegades v B.O.O.T[d]s

Yesterday, Renegades shot out to a big, unexpected lead of 9-1 against MiBR, and, then as expected, fell to pieces and ended up losing outright. Now, they find themselves in a must win clash with B.O.O.T[d]s in order to stay in this tournament. Ustillo, Jkaem, Jks, Nifty and Azr will all need to be at their best here, if B.O.O.T[d]s best player Benkai is switched on today, it could make this match-up a lot more interesting. The Boys’ have a big advantage on player for player skill, and, this will be the difference maker between the two teams. Expecting that Renegades will win 2-0 isn’t the biggest longshot. However, the Boy’s have been so inconsistent it is hard to suggest betting on them. However, it is going to be the most best option here.

Expected map selections:
Renegades select – Mirage
B.O.O.T[d]s select – Cache
Left Over – Dust 2

This potential map cycle plays into Renegades hands if B.O.O.T[d]s were to go down this road with their selection, Cache is a 50/50 map, where Renegades would have the edge on player skill and playing it more recently.

Best Bet – Renegades to win 2-0 @ $1.85/-118 on Unibet

FaZe Clan v MiBR

This is the battle to determine our futures bet on the winner of Group B. If FaZe win here, as expected, then, it will send them through to the next part of the tournament as the group B winner. MiBR just scraped through after almost getting blown away by Renegades, when they originally had a 9-1 lead that MiBR clawed back. However, again, on a one-for-one skill grading, FaZe have the better side, and, regardless of map selection, FaZe will hold the edge on each map in the pool bar Train, which is a 50/50 type of map for these two sides.

Expected map selections:
FaZe Clan select – Mirage
MiBR select – Inferno
Left Over – Train

With this map rotation, it will be very difficult for MiBR to win Mirage, as that is one of FaZe Clans top maps, and, they are also very strong on Inferno, but, MiBR can’t afford to throw a different map in just because it is one of their opponents weaker maps. They need to play to their strengths and throw caution to the win if they want a chance.

Best Bet – FaZe Clan to win 2-0 @ $2.25?=125 on Unibet

Mousesports v ENCE

Unexpectedly, ENCE knocked out Swedish giants, Ninja’s In Pyjamas in their first knockout match, now, they face a tougher assignment in Mousesports. Mousesports also suffered a shock of their own, losing to an out of sorts G2 in their last match to qualify for the playoff bracket. Today, they are in a must win scenario against a side that is at a lower level of individual skill and are in a game that they are expected to win. However, the communication issues with new player Snax was on show against G2 and that isn’t something that Mousesports can fix overnight. Expectation here is that those issues hang around today and, make Mousesports bring the best out of their individual skill players. ENCE are significantly outmatched on a one for one player grading as well as an experience and strategy level. Mousesports will win this battle.

Expected map selections:
Mousesports select – Mirage
ENCE select – Train
Left Over – Inferno

With this map pool, Mousesports would hold a big edge on Mirage and a slight edge on Train, which would add value to a 2-0 win. However, the communication between the team isn’t on point at the moment, which could easily effect their executes on a map like Train. Skill level here will be crucial and a big game from Oskar is required for Mousesports to win here.

Best Bet – Mousesports to win 2-0 @ $2.25/+125 on Unibet

Fnatic v BIG

Unlike yesterday, BIG will not be afforded the opportunity of their opponent throwing for a lower bracket run. Fnatic are hungry after a string of disappointing efforts. BIG are an easy target, and, at this stage of the tournament, they are one you would like to have on your road to the semi’s or the quarters, that is exactly what lies ahead here for Fnatic. BIG got a win yesterday solely on the fact that Liquid had one player putting in effort and four that were only focused on what teams were headed to the lower bracket with them. Smooya is a rising start in the awp scene, however, he is against a season veteran in JW here, he will struggle if they go toe-to-toe.

Expected map selections:
Fnatic – Mirage
BIG – Dust 2
Left Over – Inferno

With this map rotation, BIG will be able to get Dust 2, or possibly Nuke, depending which way they select, after that, it should be routine for Fnatic, who are the better side on a one for one skill level.

Best Bet – Match Total OVER 2.5 maps @ $1.90/-112 on Unibet

Cloud 9 v Natus Vincere

Yesterday, Na’Vi looked horrible in their shock loss to G2, especially after winning the first half of the map. This is a must win situation for both teams, and, Cloud 9 have less firepower to match up with Na’Vi here. Na’Vi will look to their big hitters S1mple and Electronic in order to get the job done here, especially with S1mple going somewhat missing of late for the Ukrainian outfit.

Expected map selections:
Cloud 9 – Cache
Natus Vincere – Overpass
Left Over – Mirage

Na’Vi are favourites coming into this one, even after a rather poor effort against G2, losing a lot of key rounds you would normally see them walk in. With that said, Cloud 9 are really hurting having Styko in their team lineup, and, for this reason, Na’Vi hold a significant edge in this one. Na’Vi are not that great on Cache which could see Cloud 9 steal a map if that falls in rotation. However, both Overpass and Mirage would be heavily skewed in Natus Vincere’s favour.

Best Bet – Natus Vincere -3.5 handicap map @ $1.90/-112 on Unibet

Futures Bets
To Win Outright – Astralis @ $2.30/+130 on Unibet
Group B Winner – FaZe Clan @ $2.50/+150 on Unibet
Map with highest % of T wins – Dust 2 @ $3.50/+250 on Unibet

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Wimbledon 2018 – Best Bets Day 3

Bet Chimps are bringing you the Wimbledon 2018 – Best Bets for day three. After a successful day two that can be found here, we move on to day two. With the defending champion Roger Federer back at full strength, and not a great deal of talent on the line-up to unseat the immortal champion, it looks like it is a matter of who can beat Federer as opposed to who will win. With that said – we have targeted a few games below for the second day of Wimbldeon.

John Millman v Milos Raonic

After having an injury scare not long ago, Raonic bounced back with an opening game at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets. Millman also opened Wimbledon with a win, but, in four sets against Stefano Travaglia. Millmans biggest issue here will be coping with the power and spin that Raonic is able to put behind every shot. Millman isn’t the same type of player as Raonic, and will look to stand off the baseline and play long shot tennis. This plays into the Canadians hands here as it is where he is most comfortable. The model has Raonic winning this contest at a probability of 83%.

Best Bet – Match Total UNDER 36.5 games @ $2.00/+100 on Betfair

Roger Federer v Lukas Lacko

Federer is our pick here to win it all, and he finds himself in another favourable match here against Lacko. Federer is the best there has ever been on grass, and in tennis in general, Lacko, while aspiring, doesn’t have the talent here to match up with Federer, the model projects a straight set route for Federer where he will win by 7+ games. Getting good value for this to go under 29 games at the moment.

Best Bet – Match Total UNDER 29.5 games @ $1.95/-106 on Unibet

Stefanos Tsitsipas v Jared Donaldson

This is really a game about two players headed in separate directions. Tsitsipas is currently on back to back grass court wins, where Donaldson has routinely struggled on the surface, despite a round one win. This one is a match that is geared in the Grecians favour. Tsitsipas will use his speed in order to keep Donaldson on the back foot by making him move as much as he will be. Tsitsipas has shown better match fitness, and, Donaldson just hasn’t been playing his best tennis. A story of two players on differing ends of the form spectrum. The model gives Tsitsipas a win probability of 71% in four sets.

Best Bet – Stefanos Tsitsipas -1.5 set line @ $2.05/+105 on Unibet

Multi Of The Day
Lucas Pouille ML
Kevin Anderson -1.5 set line
John Isner -1.5 set line
Value – $2.97/+197 on Unibet

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