Well, here it is, the climax of the Australian Spring Carnival. The Emirates Melbourne Cup Day. And, we here at Bet Chimps, couldn’t be anymore excited. This is when we will be producing our Punters Guide for our followers and we will be making some dollarydo’s. What wait – you can jon the Bet Chimps movement here
Race 1 – EMIRATES 100TH A380 STAKES 1000m (G3)
The favourite at the time of writing is Qafila, a speedy type that is in great form headed into the Cup day opener. McEvoy being in the saddle only adds confidence to the chances here. Setsuna is the next best here in what is really shaping up as a two horse race. Baster has been in great form and these two at Flemington will definitely be there abouts. Farthing Wood is coming in untested, but, Weir has a knack of producing quality young horses and his partnership with John Allen is seldom unsuccessful.
Top Pick – Qafila (2)
Next Best – Setsuna (1)
Outsider – Farthing Wood (5)
Race 2 – TAB.COM.AU TROPHY 1700m
Invincibella is the form horse in this race – early start win would do well for the confidence of jockey Hugh Bowman who has a top chance in the Cup. Invincibella will be running mid pack and hope that this big field will open a lane to burst through. Sectionals only add to confidence. Hell Or Highwater when Damian Oliver is in the saddle is always competitive, a jockey change here will see Dean Yendall get the mount, who has been in top form of late. Expect a bold showing. Luke Nolen and Lady Silhouette round out the list of hopefuls here. Running into this in solid form, Lady Silhouette certainly wouldn’t surprise if she won.
Top Pick – Invincibella (3)
Next Best – Hell or Highwater (1)
Outsider – Lady Silhouette (6)
Race 3 – LAVAZZA SHORT BLACK 1400m
Jamie Kah is in the top 10 jockey’s in Australia for win percentages, and, she is riding her self proclaimed favourite horse in this one, on Dollar For Dollar. With the form Kah has been in of late, it is hard to look past the South Australian flyer. Expect Dollar For Dollar to be on the winners podium. New Universe has been running in well, and is prepped for this start. The quickest horse on sectionals, but, the expected soggy track may lay issues to its claims. Boggoms has been a blackbooker of ours for a long time, and we aren’t going to shy away from it here. Always in it at the end, and, if a kick can be had, can best this field.
Top Pick – Dollar For Dollar (4)
Next Best – New Universe (6)
Outsider – Boggoms (2)
Race 4 – RONALD MCDONALD HOUSE CHARITIES 2800m
Sin To Win is the value runner of the day today. McEvoy has a great chance to pick up an early double if he plays his cards right. Sin To Win likes the distance, has form on softer going and likes the trip. Ticks all the boxes. Yogi will most certainly look to drop back early with the wide barrier draw and save itself for the closing stages of the race. Late speed helps with claims. The Willybe has great form and value here. Has beaten others in this race, likes the trip and is proven on softer going. Dark horse.
Top Pick – Sin To Win (6)
Next Best – Yogi (5)
Outsider – The Willybe (9)
Race 5 – SCHWEPPES FLEMINGTON FLING 1000m
One of the two Godolphin runners here is going to be hard to beat – Piracy is in the better form of the two and will enjoy the run on the speed. Softer track will make it harder for back markers to pull through. Hard to beat. Nature Strip is coming in off a second place and a win, hard to fault form and retains familiar jockey. Bandipur is the second of the Godolphin runners here. Will look to settle off the pace and use good late speed to overcome the other runners.
Top Pick – Piracy (5)
Next Best – Nature Strip (8)
Outsider – Bandipur (2)
Race 6 – LEXUS HYBRID PLATE 1400m
Our Crown Mistress is the form horse of the day here. Has shown great speed and oozes potential. The distance suits and has priors. Baster having the ride only adds to the confidence. One to beat. Warranty is always there. Bowman with another good ride and will really be looking to head into the Cup in high spirits. Warranty has the late speed to test these. Super Snob has good form over the distance and on softer going. Has great value at wide odds and a win wouldn’t surprise.
Top Pick – Our Crown Mistress (2)
Next Best – Warranty (6)
Outsider – Super Snob (10)
Race 7 – EMIRATES MELBOURNE CUP 3200m (G1)
Here it is, the race that stops the nation. One of the most open fields in recent memory, just about any horse in this race has a legitimate claim to win this, but, there are three that really stand out at this point. Marmelo will have one of the best jockeys in the nation in the saddle in Hugh Bowman, has shown that it knows how to win over the distance and on softer going. A class horse, with class ability that will take an effort to beat.
Thomas Hobson is also a legitimate claimant in this race, has won multiple times over the distance, has won at this class level, and has won repeatedly on softer going. Thomas Hobson will have the jockey that came second just a year ago and will be looking to get it right this year in Magic Man Morreira. Hard to look past.
Max Dynamite has raced in the cup before and came ever so close. Was eclipsed by big outside winner Pirates of Penzance two years ago. Has since been rested for this race, 75-day spell after winning at 3400m. Will be getting Zac Purton in the saddle who is more than familiar with both the race and the Flemington track. Ticks a lot of boxes, just needs to get a break or two and it will be right in this.
Others to consider
Top Pick – Marmelo (5)
Next Best – Thomas Hobson (21)
Outsider – Max Dynamite (9)
Exotic – Boxed First Four: Humidor (3), Marmelo (5), Max Dynamite (9), Thomas Hobson (21)
Race 8 – JAMES BOAG’S PREMIUM STAKES 1800m
Balf’s Choice is the form runner of the race, has proven itself time and time again in South Australia and will be looking to make a claim in front of a bigger crowd. Has drawn a good gate and has McEvoy in the saddle. Hard to beat. Lubiton has been showing up recently and is looking better each run. The wide barrier is a concern, but, Damian Lane is producing at the moment in melbourne and represents great value here. Daniel Moor and De Little Engine should never be excluded. Always in it at the end and has legitimate claims here despite the wide odds. Excellent sprinter and will come close.
Top Pick – Balf’s Choice (7)
Next Best – Lubiton (11)
Outsider – De Little Engine (8)
Race 9 – MSS SECURITY SPRINT 1200m
So You Too comes in to this race in good footing. Has Zac Purton in the saddle, won over the distance, likes the track and is always competitive. Lost last start to Rich Charm, but, was certainly not disgraced coming in second. Good form line and has what it takes. I Thought So is the next best here, Magic Man Morriera is in the saddle, coming in after knocking on the door in last few races. Distance and class both suit. Win wouldn’t surprise. Oberland rarely runs a bad race. Coming in with not so great form, but, the distance, class and track all suit here. Enjoys bigger crowds and will lift its game here.
Top Pick – So You Too (12)
Next Best – I Thought So (15)
Outsider – Oberland (17)
Strong 10 – THE HONG KONG JOCKEY CLUB STAKES 1400m
After the Melbourne Cup, this on paper, is the most competitive field after that. A lot of quality runners here and White Moss has shown the ability to best these. Three wins from last four starts, will be third up and in great order here for this one. Jason Collett in the saddle who has Sydney form. Hard to beat. Pedrena is the next best here, untested on softer tracks, and, if weather predictions hold true, will be his first test on it. Expect a bold showing with late speed. Quilista is a horse that should never not be included, at its best, will beat any horse in this field. Has a great turn of foot and will be sitting just off the pace.
Top Pick – White Moss (5)
Next Best – Pedrena (13)
Outsider – Quilista (9)
Best Bet – Race 5 – Piracy
Next Best – Race 10 – White Moss
Longshot – Race 4 – The Willybe
Bet Chimps Double – Sin To Win to PLACE in to White Moss to PLACE @ $5.09 on Crownbet
Quaddie of the Raceard
Race 7 – Marmelo (5), Max Dynamite (9), Thomas Hobson (21)
Race 8 – Balf’s Choice (7), Da Little Engine (8), Lubtion (11)
Race 9 – So You Too (12), I Thought So (15), Oberland (17)
Race 10 – White Moss (5), Quilista (9), Pedrena (13)
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