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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Warwick Farm

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The Punters Guide returns to form, nailing back-to-back quaddies last week. After a small break the last two days, we have a few competitive races at Warwick Farm – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – #THERACES HANDICAP 1300m

Small, but, ultra competitive race here with one of our top rated runners on the day in Brilliant Choice, who has drawn well, and get Tommy Berry in the saddle. Showed great grit last start fighting hard before getting swooped late on debut. Bright prospects here. Vulcan and Vega one are the main dangers here.

Top Pick – Brilliant Choice
No next best – No third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 2 – TAB.COM.AU HANDICAP 1600m

Matowi was disappointing last start when finishing in fourth when much better was expected. Smaller field here today, with only one main danger in Tarka. However, the Ocean Park runner needed more room to run on debut and gets an extra 350 metres here. As mentioned, Tarka and James McDonald are the main dangers and will make Bowman bring the best out of Matowi in order to get the win.

Top Pick – Matowi
Next Best – Tarka
No third pick – No third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 3 – ATC HONG KONG TOUR SPRINT 1000m

Robbie Dolan has a great chance to get the win here on the in form, Royal Hootenany, who has picked up two impressive wins on the trot, both against super quick fields like what today presents. The distance suits, and, won well over this trip two starts back. In a squeeze barrier, the Royal Hootenany has a great turn of foot and could prove too much here. Deity is the next best here, and, gives Tommy Berry another good chance on the day already. Ran well before spell, but, is coming into this one fresh and could have that residual fitness that is needed. Exced And Excel sprinter, Excellent Design has drawn perfectly near the rail and has shown good early speed to get to the lead. Could do that again here and could be hard to track down.

Top Pick – Royal Hootenany
Next Best – Deity
Longshot/Value – Excellent Design

TOP PICK

Race 4 – TAB REWARDS HANDICAP 2200m

More Moet is great value here, great record over the distance, winner at track and distance previously as well as class, has every box ticked here and has a great turn of foot in the closing stages of the race. One to beat here. Corinth has been right there over its last three attempts when surging late – is given another chance here today on a quick back-up. Has the ability. All Cash is the best of the rest here. Been hit and miss, but, has drawn well and will use good early speed to get a favourable position.

Top Pick – More Moet
Next Best – Corinth
Longshot/Value – All Cash

TOP PICK

Race 5 – RIBCHESTER NEW TO DARLEY MILE 1600m

Makdanife is the pick here. Ran on strongly last start and, is second up and fitter for that effort here today. Powerful gait, and is in a field that hasn’t shown the same speed over the last furlong. Expecting a bold run here. Next best in this one will be Waiheke, who, has unfortunately drawn the carpark, but, has great early speed to overcome this. Expected to roll forward early and be the one to catch. Chocolatier is the best of the rest. Winner last start after disappointing debut, the Redoute’s Choice runner has a bit of maturing to do, but, if runs smartly today, could take some beating.

Top Pick – Makdanife
Next Best – Waiheke
Longshot – Chocolatier

TOP PICK

Race 6 – EVEREST CARNIVAL HANDICAP 1400m

Bull Market gets another go here, we were against him in his last effort, but, we will be with the Bull in this one. Showed enough last start to suggest it can handle this field, while, more runners are taking him on today – has drawn well and will get into a favourable early spot just behind the lead pack. At its best, won’t lose this one. Seaglass is one that has disappointed so far this prep, back-to-back fourths haven’t helped its claims, but, has the talent and, if it can find a little extra today, will be right in it. Impasse is the best of the rest here, best form of the field, and, has Bowman in the saddle, only adding to its claims here. Tricky wide barrier but, will drop off the pace and move across, with a bit of luck, with a void getting caught deep.

Top Pick – Bull Market
Next Best – Seaglass
Longshot/Value – Impasse

TOP PICK

Race 7 – AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP 1200m
James McDonald finishes the day here with one of his top rides in Coruscate, who has drawn wide, but, will look to roll forward quickly with good early speed. if McDonald is allowed to dictate the pace of the race, Coruscate will be hard to beat first up here today – added kicker of being a winner fresh previously. Bowman and Under The Thumb are the next best here, and, second up as well after a flashy third first up in last start. Distance, class and track all suit here. Rafha’s Choice is the best of the rest here. Getting a fresh Grant Buckley in the saddle, who has had a few meets since returning from holidays, gets a class dropper, who has won at distance previously. Expect a bold run.

Top Pick – Coruscate
Next Best – Under The Thumb
Longshot – Rafha’s Choice

TOP PICK

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 2/4/5
Race 5 – 6/8/10
Race 6 – 4/7/10
Race 7 – 2/4/9
$50 gets 62.00% on BetEasy

Best Bet – Brilliant Choice Race 1 @ $3.30 on BetEasy
Next Best – Coruscate Race 7 @ $3.70 on BetEasy
Longshot – More Moet Race 4 @ $7.00 on BetEasy

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Bull Market to win in to Corinth to place @ $8.14/+714 on BetEasy

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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