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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Toowoomba

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia (Toowoomba Punters Guide)

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The Punters Guide returns after a good day yesterday, with multiple winners (4/7 top picks including a $9 winner in Madam Shazma as well as a $9.18 double up). We have a strong list of competitive races for the Toowoomba Punters Guide today – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – ITHINK PROPERTY 3YO CLASS 1 PLATE 1210m

Small field of runners here, and, the value in this race lies in the debut winner, Welcome Nugget. Skye Bogenhuber has had a bit of a purple patch of late, but, gets one of the best rides of the day first up and won’t want to squander this chance. The distance suits Welcome Nugget, who scored on debut over the five furlongs, but, looked hungry for more, gets that today and is in good order.

Top Pick – Welcome Nugget
No next best – No Third Dividend

TOP PICK
Toowoomba Punters Guide

Race 2 – WIMMERS PREMIUM SOFT DRINKS MAIDEN 870m

Beau Appo has the ride in this maiden with a debutant that has been talked about a bit through racing circles out that way from the Kemp stables. Awesome Katie has drawn a little wider than would be preferred, but, is in a favourable race that doesn’t feature a great deal of work and can just come out of the gate and let loose. Supposedly has a great deal of speed and a debut win wouldn’t be a surprise. Another unseen runner here in Yazzi Jean could be a value point in this race. Hannah English is riding well at the moment, and always does well at Toowoomba. Drawn well and is another that could win here – but, top pick preferred.

Top Pick – Awesome Katie
Next Best – Yazzi Jean

TOP PICK
Toowoomba Punters Guide

Race 3 – ROCK TRADE INDUSTRIES CL4 HANDICAP 1300m

Leah Kilner may be an apprentice, but, she is certainly a jockey to keep an eye on, and, today, she has one of her best rides early on in Mishani Shiraz. Dropping in class significantly, distance suits and won’t have to work too much to get across in this small field. Winner at distance and placed in only effort at this class. One to beat here. Can’t overlook Boiling either. Stepping up slightly in class, won at distance previously, but, not really been competitive at this class. Will need to make the leap today.

Top Pick – Mishani Shiraz
Next Best – Boiling

TOP PICK
Toowoomba Punters Guide

Race 4 – COCA COLA AMATIL MAIDEN HANDICAP 1300m

This race maps as a pretty one sided affair with the short listed Tony’s Decree being the standout horse, and drawing perfectly for the race. Currently trading at sub $1.30, this race doesn’t present any value as this horse is a cut above the rest.

Top Pick – Tony’s Decree
No next best – No Third Dividend

TOP PICK
Toowoomba Punters Guide

Race 5 – PRYDE’S EASIFEED CLASS 2 HANDICAP 1640m

The Showman hasn’t won since breaking its maiden this year, but, finds a beatable field here, and, Beau Appo will be looking to break his duck on the horse as well, riding twice for a second and a third. Small field, and drawn inside over a favourable distance. Ticks boxes today and should be right in it. On A High can’t be overlooked either. Progressive type that has been knocking on the door since returning from spell, has the improving Emily Ljung in the saddle and will be competitive throughout. Value point in this one will be in the Yoshida ride, Bernie’s Tiger. Steps up slightly in class today, Yoshida has yet to return a result lower than third in three rides, including a win a win a track and distance. Expect a bold run.

Top Pick – The Showman
Next Best – On A High
Longshot/Value – Bernie’s Tiger

TOP PICK
Toowoomba Punters Guide

Race 6 – TOOWOOMBA PLASTICS BM65 HANDICAP 1210m

Stormy Grey was running out of its depths last start and the result proved it. Today, it drops back to a favourable class, distance and a field that doesn’t really have any true speed up front, allowing Stormy Grey to run a little off the pace and enjoy cover. Race before last, ran over this class, and won by 0.5L against a stronger field of runners. Maps well here and a win wouldn’t shock.

Top Pick – Stormy Grey
No next best – No Third Dividend

TOP PICK
Toowoomba Punters Guide

Race 7 – HELLO HARRY BM70 HANDICAP 1050m

Another short field of runners here today, with two real standouts that the market currently reflects at the time of writing. Viceman drops slightly in grade today, and has a slight edge over Captain Leo at this range. Closing sectionals favour Viceman in this race, who retains winning jockey from last effort and is yet to lose a race in this class. One to beat here.

Top Pick – Viceman
No next best – No Third Dividend

TOP PICK
Toowoomba Punters Guide

Race 8 – PRO-CLEAR CLASS 1 HANDICAP 1000m

Fionnlagh was super impressive winning last start and under Leah Kilner has a good chance to repeat that success. Stepping up slightly in class today, but, the surrounding runners are not overly impressive, and suggest that Fionnlagh has a slight edge despite the increase. Carrying the top weight here, but, it isn’t enough to be concerned about. Major concern is the wide barrier draw, but, has enough early speed to get behind the lead horses. Not much room for error over such a short trip, but, rates highly here. Mister Spinks and Matthew Hellyer can’t be overlooked here. Been knocking on the door since returning from spell and is going to be competitive again. Big Dan The Man was impressive when second up last time out, and, is coming in second up here today. Beau Appo has a history of striking late at big odds at this track, and a win wouldn’t shock here.

Top Pick – Fionnlagh
Next Best – Mister Spinks
Longshot – Big Dan The Man

TOP PICK
Toowoomba Punters Guide

Best Bet – Mishani Shiraz Race 3 @ $2.30 on BetEasy
Next Best – Fionnlagh Race 8 @ $2.70 on BetEasy
Longshot – Bernie’s Tiger Race 5 @ $6.00 on NEDS

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Mishani Shiraz to win in to Fionnlagh to win @ $5.94/+494 on BetEasy

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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