Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Newcastle
The Punters Guide returns to where it was rebooted not too long ago – the Canterbury race track. With some small fields, and a few competitive races – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Backing up from a big day yesterday, including a quaddie win at Canterbury.
Race 1 – HUNGERFORD HILL WINES CG&E CLASS 1 1500m
Salsa Man is the one to be on here. While Bobbio and Triumph Star are clear dangers, Salsa Man has the most upside in this small field of competitors. Dropping in class and will look to ride just off the lead group, has shown a good turn of foot when winning previously and this distance is optimal. Expect a bold showing. Triumph Star and Andrew Adkins are the next best options here, while Bobbio gets strong consideration, the weight claim for Triumph Star puts him in good steed here and will be competitive throughout.
Top Pick – Salsa Man
Next Best – Triumph Star
No longshot – No third dividend
Race 2 – WESTFIELD KOTARA MAIDEN HANDICAP 1500m
Tye Angland has his best of the day at Newcastle here with Song And A Prayer. Impressive type that is racing well, just yet to crack that maiden, but, has that chance here in a small but competitive field. Drawn the rail and expected to run just behind the lead group, good turn of foot and will be hard to keep out here. Next Best is Homework. The Angland v Ford battle will be a good one to keep an eye on today, and in the first two races, they both have some very capable horses, and Homework is no exception, ran on gamely for a tough second last start and will be looking to do just that little bit more here to get the win. Value runner here is Regal Capital. Rachel King is in good form at the moment nad gets a horse at wide odds that has shown that it can run on strong, and, in this competitive field, has every chance.
Top Pick – Song And A Prayer
Next Best – Homework
Longshot – Regal Capital
Race 3 – ADVANCED PEST CONTROL MAIDEN PLATE 1330m
Art Of More continues the short price trend here. Tommy Berry in the saddle and placed third up over this distance previously. Last start second over the trip and, looked to be closing off strong only just missing the win. Less competitive field here today, weight not an issue here, and has a lot going for it here, top chance. Seeingisbelieving is the next best here, another of Angland’s top rides for the day, just had its chances increase with the early morning scratching of favourite, Semper Fidelis. First up today after a five month layoff, expect a strong run fresh here. Almerheri is the ebst of the rest here, and another Rachel King longshot here. This race became a lot more open with the above scratching, and, Almerheri has the ability to win this, was against much better competition on first two starts and should find this group a little better. Needs to show something today.
Top Pick – Art Of More
Next Best – Seeingisbelieving
Longshot – Almaheri
Race 4 – SHARP ELECTRONICS GROUP CLASS 1 900m
Venture Capital has drawn a sticky barrier, but, with it being a small field, won’t have to work as hard to get into a favourable positions. Bullock likes the Newcastle track, and, has his best ride of the day here on Venture Capital. Yet to show its full potential, and, if today is that day – could put this field to rest in the last furlong.
Top Pick – Venture Capital
No next best – No third dividend
Race 5 – AUSTRALIAN BLOODSTOCK 3YO MAIDEN 900m
Another top chance here from Tye Angland on the untested Happy Bubbles, who has drawn well and by all accounts will look to push forward and dictate the pace of the race. The Ryan stables have indicated that they are extremely happy with the way Happy Bubbles has progressed and are really confident in what it will be able to do today. Expect a big run on debut. Main danger here is in the Lees trained runner Evalina, first up today after a promising debut, then spell. Should have the residual fitness here to remain in this. Another danger horse could be the Godolphin runner – Watching, but, two starts back, no excuses to offer and ran poorly down the straight. Hard to accept as a winning chance after that effort.
Top Pick – Happy Bubbles
Next Best – Evalina
Longshot/Value – Watching
Race 6 – MACKA’S SAND & SOIL MAIDEN PLATE 1850m
Stage Pass has been right on the mark all prep so far, and, has its best chance to break through here today. Drawn the rail and expected roll forward early and dictate the pace of the race here. Failed to hold on thus far, but, with a slower tempo approach can go the full length here in the lead. My King’s Counsel has been doing its best work late, trying to swoop home late, would have got there last start with a bit more ground when covering a lot to finish fourth, will have the chance here with the extra metres. Shaodw Of Mordor is the best of the rest here, great value at double digits and has was right there last effort when finishing off excruciatingly close with a late push by 0.2L. Can go better here and will be right up there again today.
Top Pick – Stage Pass
Next Best – My King’s Counsel
Longshot – Shadow Of Mordor
Race 7 – YARRAMAN PARK STUD BM 65 HANDICAP 1850m
Another small but competitive field here where Scratches will be the one to beat, plenty of horses have been scratched form this race, but, Scratches has remained and has the best form leading into this one. The Waller runner was an impressive winner two starts back, and, last start can be forgiven when finishing fifth after running into traffic. Has a lot less in front of er here today and can hit the post hard. Belle Du Sud has been there abouts last handful of starts, has a smaller field which helps here, and less competitive opponents, can be tricky to gauge this horse at times as it gives 100% one run then 40% the next. With less in its surroundings here, expecting a strong finish. Happy Partner is the value runner in this race. As said before, Penza loves to strike at North Coast tracks late in the day with horses over $10 and Happy Partner actually maps well for this one. Impressive third over a similar distance in a similar group of runners last up – and this duo will be better for it. Win won’t surprise here.
Top Pick – Scratches
Next Best – Belle Du Sud
Longshot – Happy Partner
Race 8 – NATIONWIDE SUPER F&M CLASS 1 1500m
This last race is possibly the trickiest of the entire meet, a strong list of runners and a favourite that is extremely unpredictable. However, we aren’t going to go with the favourite here and we are going with the standout from the Lees stable in Sunreel. Strong winner last up, blowing the field away by a strong 1.5L, looking like it would have done an ever bigger margin had there been more room to run. Goes up a furlong and a half on winning effort, and, is a definite contender here. Value runner of the day. Velocano is one that you can’t look past here either. Strong form and gets Rachel King in the saddle, who placed in a competitive race last start with the horse. Looking to go one better here today and there is nothing that suggests that it can’t. The Waller trained, Joy Forever was a strong winner last start at Hawkesbury over the trip, has a jockey change here today, but, James McDonald is no downgrade. Joy Forever has the pedigree and the proven ability to win at this trip. One to include in exotics here.
Top Pick – Sunreel
Next Best – Velocano
Longshot – Joy Forever
Bet Chimps Racing Double – Sunreel to place in to Art Of More to win @ $6.70/+570 on BetEasy
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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.
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