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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Marwillumbah

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The Punters Guide returns to form, nailing back-to-back quaddies last week. After a small break the last two days, we have a few competitive races at Marwillumbah – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – SOLO RESOURCE RECOVERY CLASS 2 1530m

Tough opening race here, with a couple of key runners looking better than the rest, including an surprise appearance by Queensland jockey, Jim Byrne. Dunn is enjoying a great season so far, and, Mother To Race Her looks like another winner for him here today in this small field. Expected to run on the heels of the lead horses and then bolt home over the closing stages. Has the ability here. Main danger here comes in the Matt McGuren mount – Wainui Gold, who is a strong performer at the distance and has strong sectionals suggesting it will be one of the top sprinters in the closing stages. Airlie Man is the value runner in the race here, who is a little over the odds based off last performance, something that can be easily replicated in this smaller, less speedier feild. Expect a bold run.|

Top Pick – Mother To Race Her
Next Best – Wainui Gold
Longshot – Airlie Man

TOP PICK

Race 2 – BRIMS CONCRETE – EVA SMITH MAIDEN 1200m

Another tightly contested small field of runners here, but, we are going with the untested, Pirlo to get the win here. Trial form with todays jockey is strong, finishing a close second to the speedy Hayburner at Ballina. Expected to run on the pace today, in a race that figures to have genuine pace. Drawn tricky, but, doesn’t need to overwork early due to the small field. Main dangers comes in Rock’n’roll Music, who is first up today.

Top Pick – Pirlo
No next best – No third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 3 – AUSTRALIAN BITUMEN SERVICES 1200m

Again another small field of runners here that looks to be another tightly contested race. Expecting to see Portuguese Tart jump well and sit behind the lead horses, likely to be headed up by Pundit, who will bring the early speed into this one. However, Portuguese Tart won well over this distance at Doomben in a field of better horses and, figures to repeat that success here despite last two starts being very, very unimpressive. Duke Of Frederick would have gotten the nod here if he had a run under his belt, but, comes into this one a little cold, and, may struggle due to the lack of fitness after a 166-day layoff. Has the ability if at its best. Pundit is the value horse here, drawn well, has bundles of early speed and, if Pundit can dig deep and hold its expected lead throughout, can win this.

Top Pick – Portuguese Tart
Next Best – Duke Of Frederick
Longshot – Pundit

TOP PICK

Race 4 – CUNNINGHAM VALUERS MAIDEN PLATE 1530m

Hayburner did everything right on debut, except for winning. Has a bigger field to contest with here today – but, has drawn the rail run today, and will be able to sit in cover throughout. The speed horse of the race over the closing stages and, a race similar to last effort should be good enough to win this one. Indian Rocks is the next best, running a close second to Red Flyer is a good form line, and it was a loss by not even a length. A horse that likes to be in front, and, if Tegan Harrison can get tot he front and dictate the pace, could be hard to track down. Twilight Flyer has not had a great deal of success in its career, but, is suited by this race and will be one of the lead horses on a track that favours front runners. Has every chance today.

Top Pick – Hayburner
Next Best – Indian Rocks
Longshot – Twilight Flyer

TOP PICK

Race 5 – MURWILLUMBAH CELLARS BM 58 1100m

Reigning Thunder is worth a shot here, even with apprentice jockey, Jed Hodge in the saddle. Significant drop in class here today and, has every chance against this field in what is truly an open race. Being dropped in class and running second up here and will be better for the race fitness form last race. Expect a bold run today. Limited is the next best here, an most of that confidence comes from having Ryan Maloney in the saddle who has become the hottest jockey in Queensland after moving north. The horse comes into this one with plenty of speed and is one of the top chances here. Paroo River is the value horse here, form lines aren’t overly impressive, but, it matches up to all runners here, and has a good second up record. One of the chances.

Top Pick – Reigning Thunder
Next Best – Limited
Longshot/Value – Paroo River

TOP PICK

Race 6 – TURSA NEWMARKET HANDICAP 1200m

Sunset Hills is going to be the lead horse in this one, drawn well and can get to the front quick. Showed great resolve when leading from gate to post two starts back on a very heavy track, seems to produce its best on the heavier going – but, is on firm today, which could be an issue. However, sectionals favour the 8-year-old here and, if it can dictate the pace of the race, will be very hard to track down again. Powerful Saga is the next best here, winner at track and distance three starts back and has winning jockey form that effort. Must be included. Charlie Cat put in a great effort two starts back when stealing the win from the much more fancied Dansez. Last start was racing out of its depth as a $31 chance, and ran to that value. More competitive here today and a win wouldn’t shock.

Top Pick – Sunset Hills
Next Best – Powerful Saga
Longshot – Charlie Cat

TOP PICK

Race 7 – RIVERVIEW HOTEL MURWILLUMBAH CUP 1530m

Bodega Negra is the surprise pick here. The last time it won earlier in the year, it was a similar field to this, at the same odds, with half a furlong extra to run. Here today, it has a little less distance to hold the elad over. Will look to push forward early on and try to get the lead, there will be others vying for it however. Bodega Negra has performed its best when it has gotten a hold of the lead. Dropping in class today for this race and a win definitely won’t surprise. Hotel Coste was impressive last start, despite falling short of the win. Has a very similar opportunity here today and will be better for the last race. Retains jockey from that effort and will be close again today. Future Event can’t be looked past here. Impressive record over the distance, getting an upgrade in the saddle and is ready to peak here. Good odds and should come close.

Top Pick – Bodega Negra
Next Best – Hotel Coste
Longshot – Future Event

TOP PICK

Race 8 – JH WILLIAMS TYGALGAH CUP – BM 66 2020m

Rallier was impressive last start when winning – jumps sharply in distance today to test the ten furlong range for the first time, but, last start win by a length showed that it had more left and would appreciate the extra distance. Best of the day for Plessis, and, won’t want to squander this chance. Next best here is the Jim Byrne ride in Pegapus. 5-year-old yet to strike at this distance, but, has a good record when dropping in class, and has that edge again here today. Tempa Mental is the best of the rest here, winner at a similar distance, last start was disappointing, but, can find its best here.

Top Pick – Rallier
Next Best – Pegapus
Longshot – Tempa Mental

TOP PICK

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 2/6/8
Race 5 – 1/3/9
Race 6 – 3/5/14
Race 7 – 3/6/9
$50 gets 62.00% on BetEasy

Best Bet – Hayburner Race 4 @ $3.30 on BetEasy
Next Best – Mother To Race Her Race 1 @ $3.70 on BetEasy
Longshot – Bodega Negra Race 7 @ $7.00 on BetEasy

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Mother To Race Her to win in to Hayburner to win @ $4.07/+3.07 on BetEasy

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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