Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Geelong
Today marks the return of the long awaited – Bet Chimps Punters Guide and the first race meeting in its crosshairs, is Monday’s Geelong meeting. With an eye watering, ten race card. Without further ado – let’s get stuck into this Punters Guide!
Race 1 – B365 Geelong Maiden Plate 1100m
A very interesting opening race here with a handful of starters. Track is expected to still be a bit firm for the first one, but, will deteriorate as the day wears on with expected rain in the forecast. More Sundays is a definite chance here, bloodlines are strong, being from More Joyous. Another one to look out for is the half sister to Oaks winner De Little Engine in De Little Sister. De Little Sister drops in class and is running off a spell, will be one to watch. Biggest roughie for the race is certainly Si Senor, who has three trials under the belt and can test these. One knock against it being that its best trial was a second where it looked a little flat.
Top Pick – De Little Sister
Next Best – More Sundays
Longshot – Si Senor
Race 2 – B365 Geelong Cup 24th October Maiden 1700m
Star Creation is the horse you want to back based off last run. Finishing second impressively and maps well for this race. Only knock would be that the track will be a bit heavier now and, a horse running from the back, that lacks a powerful gait, may find it difficult. Star Lucas for Jordan Childs here is the next best, will look to roll forward from a wide gate and push on strongly there after. Very well suited. Outside value in this one goes to Koonibba, which represents great value for a horse dropping significantly in grade while also getting the chance to get up front early, but, will need to avoid getting caught wide.
Top Pick – Star Creation
Next Best – Star Lucas
Longshot – Koonibba
Race 3 – B365 Maiden Plate 1700m
Competitive race here, but, the nod will go to the Kavanagh trained, Blinky O’Reilly. Solid when second on previous effort and gets the extra step it was looking for. Joe Bowditch will need to take a step up here in order to beat the next best. Come On Carl was competitive last start when finishing a close second also, field was slightly less competitive and will need a stronger finish in order to break its maiden here, will go close. Best outside value here is Aedesia. Declan Bates back in the saddle after a flashy second last start, will look to improve as a duo here and could have a bold run.
Top Pick – Blinky O’Reilly
Next Best – Come On Carl
Longshot – Aedesia
Race 4 – Viatek Maiden Plate 1300m
A day for maidens so far, but, the Weir trained and Yendall ridden Extra Brut will be too strong here. Has looked good in training and is bred right for the trip, Weir has his go to man in the saddle here and has every box ticked for this one. Seewhatshebrings is the next best here, the other shorty at the time of writing is a definite contender here. Not much has been said about this horse – use the market as a guide. Beau Mertens and Raiding Party are the best long shot here, and will definitely have a chance here off a good start. Will need cover and some luck here.
Top Pick – Extra Brut
Next Best – Seewhatshebrings
Longshot – Raiding Party
Race 5 – Roderick Insurance Brokers Maiden 1300m
Civil Guard was impressive last start when first up after five months, finished second after slowing on the straight. Good form line and rates well here with Luke Nolen in the saddle. Could take the next step after spell. The Founder is the next best here, drawn well and also rates nicely off last start third. Distance is where it needs to be and could surprise here. Longshot of the race will be Sonaisali, who is a good performer and will like the company in this race. Ready to break its maiden here, but, will need some luck to do it.
Top Pick – Civil Guard
Next Best – The Founder
Longshot – Sonaisali
Race 6 – Shojun Concrete BM58 Handicap 2200m
Ca Plane will team up with Michael Poy in this one, and could prove the one to beat. Impressive in jump trial and two starts back finished second over this distance and could be ready to take that next step. Good stayer and can beat this field. Next best here is another Weir trained runner in By Design. By Design is yet to show its best in recent jump outs, but, gets its chance here against a field that it can beat. Drawn well and could be ready to strike. Longshot chance here is the High Chaparel runner, and another one from the Weir stable – L’Amour De Ma Vie, to be ridden by Jacob Rule. Strong win three runs back, but, has yet to look comfortably at this trip – if it can be kept calm through the race, it has every chance to win.
Top Pick – Ca Plane
Next Best – By Design
Longshot – L’Amour De Ma Vie
Race 7 – J.T Dixon BM64 Handicap 1100m
Zamperini is the most consistent here, and, gets Jake Noonan in the saddle who is coming off a good showing at Wangarratta over the weekend. Zamperini has been there abouts in its last three starts for three placings and will be ready to go better here. Pure Emotion with Liam Riordan in the saddle is the next best here. Shown that it is a capable runner and is on the up here, expect a bold showing. The one with the most value in this race is He’s A Natural with Luke Nolen riding. Drawn well, carrying a little more weight than you would like, but, has the running style that will compensate for this. Can run a big race here.
Top Pick – Zamperini
Next Best – Pure Emotion
Longshot – He’s A Natural
Race 8 – Prestige Jayco BM58 Handicap 1700m
One of Luke Nolen’s top rides for the day here in Cash For Diamonds will be the one to beat. A back marker that has a very good late turn of foot and will be right there at the post. Drawn well and won’t need to do too much work early. Will need some luck late to get a lane, if it can – will be hard to beat. Second Thought may be running a little heavy here, but, Michael Poy has a strong chance to get the job done here. Impressive type of runner that can run in different spots in the field and still produce. Winner against this class previously and could very well be again. Best value in this race is Prince Of Arran, placed at the trip previously and is on the improve. Worth watching.
Top Pick – Cash For Diamond’s
Next Best – Second Thought
Longshot – Prince Of Arran
Race 9 – Elephant & Castle Hotel BM70 1400m
Expecting that the track will be heavier this time of the day – King Mombassa firms up here as the one you want to be on. Has won on heavy and soft tracks, as well as being a proven winner. The Weir/Yendall combination is always hard to keep at bay and it will prove no different here. She’s Beneficial is the next best here. John Allen gets the ride, but will need to overcome a wide gate. The horse has struggled at this range – but will improve prospects as the track gets softer. Aerospeed here has a lot of value at the time of writing, and based off last start win – will be right in the thick of things at the end of this one, rates highly.
Top Pick – King Mombassa
Next Best – She’s Beneficial
Longshot – Aerospeed
Race 10 – B365 BM58 Handicap 1400m
Clean Acheeva rates as one of the top chances in this one, winner at the trip previously and looks well prepared to repeat that feat again. Drawn a tricky barrier, but, will counter that by looking to ride midfield and getting across quickly. Petronas is one to lookout for as well, struggles at this distance, but, Yendall will be able to bring the best out of the horse which only improves its rating here. Value horse here is in Combative, currently available at double digit odds, gets the consistent Linda Meech in the saddle and has won at this trip previously. Expected to run gamely here.
Top Pick – Clean Acheeva
Next Best – Petronas
Longshot – Combative
Quaddie for the Racecard
Race 7 – 2/8/13
Race 8 – 2/4/16
Race 9 – 6/8/15
Race 10 – 9/12/13
$50 gets 62% with Crownbet
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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.