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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Canterbury

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The return of the Punters Guide has been an overwhelming success at Geelong with the every race winner being suggested yesterday at Moruya. Today, at Canterbury, we hope to keep the good form up! We have some runners today, that just look too good on paper. Let’s do this.

Race 1 – TAB.COM.AU Handicap 1550m

Aramayo is hard to look past herre, despite being the short priced favourite. Good form lines, with the in-form Tye Angland in the saddle. The Godolphin runner was extremely close at Kembla Grange finishing second last start, in a race that looked more competitive than this one today. Good turn of foot and will be hard to beat. Horn is the next best option here, and the only one that has a true chance at beating the favourite. McEvoy has a lot of work to do as Horn has been difficult to keep in line so far in his career, but, if McEvoy can keep Horn at or neat the lead throughout, it will be right there at the end.

Top Pick – Aramayo
Next Best – Horn
No third bet – No Third Dividend.

TOP PICK

Race 2 – ATC Hong Kong Tour Plate 1250m

The Ocean Park debutant is the one that catches the eye here. Bred well, has one of the best jockeys in the saddle, and, despite a rough trial, wasn’t really asked to do much and still ran on strong. Expected to go well.

Top Pick – Matowi
No other picks – Only five runners

Top Pick

Race 3 – TAB Rewards Handicap 1250m

James McDonald and Fearless Girl map as the ones to beat here, impressive last start win at Wyong against a more competitive field at long odds. The slower the race, the better it is for Fearless Girl, and this one won’t be having a lead horse to push the tempo, most will fight to slow it down, which only increases the chances of Fearless Girl here. Symi is a Fastnet Rock debutant, and, over this trip, you can never really not rate a Fastnet Rock sired runner. Distance suits, and, the slow tempo will allow the horse to run how it suits. A win wouldn’t surprise.

Top Pick – Fearless Girl
Next Best – Symi
No third selection – No third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 4 – #Theraces Handicap 1250m

A race-to-race double could be on the cards for James McDonald here as Metamorphic looks hard to beat in this one. Another Fastnet Rock sired horse here, showed good form when running second to the in form Smartedge last up, and will be better for it here. This race reads a bit more of a quicker race, with Metamorphic looking to run midfield and push through late, has the ability. Gretzky is the next best here. Tommy Berry has the ride in here and Gretzky showed strong improvement last start when finishing second first up. Second up today and strips fitter for this one. One to keep an eye on. Smart Ain’t He is the best of the rest here, strong form lines with multiple minors and a win, in just a handful of races. Stepping up in grade slightly but, will be competitive.

Top Pick – Metamorphic
Next Best – Gretzky
Longshot – Smart Ain’t He

TOP PICK

Race 5 – Rinchester Standing at Darley 1550m

This is going to be one of Josh Parr’s best chances today – and he will bring the best out of Mollyfield. In equal class, the Star Witness runner ticks all the boxes, narrowly missing the win last stat, and, lose the extra metres here that cost the win last start. One to beat. Stepping up slightly in class today, the Charge Forward sired, Dawn Raid maps well here. Question marks over jockey selection, but, the horse has the natural ability here. Good sectional times, and last two starts showed the competitive nature of the gelding. Expect a bold showing. Best value runner here is in the Jezz Penza ride, Realise Potential. Dropping in grade and, showed fight when finishing third last start. The field isn’t overly impressive, and, this horse has every chance to get the upset.

Top Pick – Mollyfield
Next Best – Dawn Raid
Longshot – Realise Potential

TOP PICK

Race 6 – Hyland Race Colours Handicap 1100m

Widdup has two really good chances in this one, and Za Zi Ba maps as the one with the stronger chance of winning. First up today, and finished last campaign third. Really pushing for the win, and, getting the fresh start, which it has won on previously, points the arrow in the right direction. Will be right there at the post. Junglized is another ride for Tommy Berry today that has every chance to win. Dropping in class significantly and running at peak distance, could be hard to beat. The value runner here is in Argent D’or, who has a good strike rate at distance and track, surprisingly, also done well in this grade. Has the ability here, and should be able to finish strong.

Top Pick – Za Zi Ba
Next Best – Junglized
Longshot – Argent D’Or

TOP PICK

Race 7 – Australian Turf Club Handicap 1900m

Corinth has drawn a tricky gate, but, is one of those horses that is always there at the end and will be searching to go one better than last two starts which resulted in seconds. Has the late speed and is a strong performer at this distance – yet to do well at the track however. Expect it to improve its Canterbury strike rate today. Bochy has drawn perfectly here and has won at this trip before. Bowman adds that extra oomph needed to get Bochy over the line here, placed at the track previously and will be looking for better here. A win wouldn’t surprise. Geometrist can’t be overlooked here, dropping in class, impeccable strike rate at this distance, and winner at this class level before. Drawn a good barrier and should take some beating.

Top Pick – Corinth
Next Best – Bochy
Longshot – Geometrist

TOP PICK

Jockey Challenge winner – James McDonald @ $2.00

Best Bet – Aramayo Race 1 @ $2.10
Next Best – Metamorphic @ $2.70
Best Value – Geometrist @ $26.00

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 8/9/10
Race 5 – 1/2/9
Race 6 – 4/6/8
Race 7 – 4/5/10
$50 gets 61.25% on Crownbet

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.