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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Wyong

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The Punters Guide returns after a big day yesterday at Rockhampton. We have a few competitive races at Wyong today – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – SENPOS CG&E MAIDEN PLATE 1200m

This is a good spot for the Snowden prepared runner, Shinju. Made a really eye catching run when finishing third last start fighting on late. Should find the going easier today. Rectitude out of Sepoy is an interesting runner here. Would want to find a little more heart when trying to close out races, missing the line last start when first through majority. Can break maiden here. Corey Brown isn’t here to carry water today, and his ride Alcatran could be the value point in the race. Fourth on debut and only better ofr the experience. Can get the win here.

Top Pick – Shinju
Next Best – Rectitude
Longshot/Value – Alcatran

TOP PICK

Race 2 – BIOCHEM WATER F&M MAIDEN PLATE 1200m

Corey Brown has his best of the day here in Prophet’s Thumb, who is having its first run today, trialed well with Brown and is going to be pushing forward early. Has shown good late speed in trials, and, can win this. Lucky Helmet was disappointing on debut, but, has trialed well since, finished second in last jumpout, but, hasn’t been on track for over 150 days. Rest may have done it a world of good. Fine Behind has been disappointing while not breaking its maiden, best run came here at Wyong two starts back, but, can find its best here in this small field. One of the chances.

Top Pick – Prohpet’s Thumb
Next Best – Lucky Helmet
Longshot – Fine Behind

TOP PICK

Race 3 – HC GROUP BM 64 HANDICAP 1600m

Panzerfaust is the best of the day here. Odds currently sit above evens, but, expecting the odds to be crunched well under the $2 mark before jump. Best form, significant class drop and the one to beat here. Top rated. Ardanza also drops in class here today and is among the dangers here, lead up form not too great, but, will find this easier. Cinderconi was a good winner tow back, but, was against a stronger field. Will find the going tough today, but, can win this.

Top Pick – Panzerfaust
Next Best – Ardanza
Longshot – Cinderconi

TOP PICK

Race 4 – BISHOP COLLINS ACCOUNTANTS CLASS 2 1200m

So You Think has a good list of G1 winners to his name – and while Intrinsic is not one of those, it can get the win here today for Bowman and the Lees stables. Last up effort was rather unimpressive, but, is getting the benefit of the doubt here second up. Should be fitter and gets its chance. Lady Of Shallot has drawn perfectly for this one, will get the gun run throughout, will look to run at or near the front and can steal this. Inanup has won first up previously, and is first up here today. Drawn a mid gate, but, can push through to get near the lead. One to watch.

Top Pick – Intrinsic
Next Best – Lady Of Shallot
Longshot – Inanup

TOP PICK

Race 5 – THE DOYLO SPRINGTIME BM74 HANDICAP 1100m

This one is going to be considered the lock of the day here, but, there is no value in it – other than you get more betting on it than you would with bank interest. At very short odds at time of writing, Smart Melody is where the Smart money goes today. Best ride of the day for McEvoy today, and should win by 2 or more lengths. Rory Hutchings has the next best here in Americana Magic. Impressive winner last start, carrying a bit of weight, but, if Smart Melody gets caught, Americana Magic is the next best option. Jericho represents some value in this one if the prior two fail to fire. Winner first up and first up today. Right distance and can win with some luck.

Top Pick – Smart Melody
Next Best – Americana Magic
Longshot – Jericho

TOP PICK

Race 6 – MONA LISA STAKES 1350m

Shumookh is another of the short odds runners with a bright outlook today. Dropping in class, but, a real chance fresh today. Winner first up before, yet to go unplaced at this distance and should be right in this. Savatiano is another that has a good strike rate at the distance and has won twice when first up. Hard to look past in this spot. Milseain is the value runner here, horrible first up, finishing dead last in fourteen. Second up record is something to perk the eye at, and, with a bit of luck, can shock here.

Top Pick – Shumookh
Next Best – Savatiano
Longshot – Milseain

TOP PICK

Race 7 – CARLTON DRAUGHT WYONG GOLD CUP 2100m

Morton’s Fork ran on really well at the Valley last start and, finds a similar group of runners here. Will look to drop into the middle of the pack and find a seam late. Has the best turn of foot in the race, and, if it can get loose, will be hard to hold out. Carzoff has been disappointing since returning from spell, but, is being given benefit of the doubt here today. At its best, can beat this field – but, hasn’t shown its best for a while. Dark Eyes at double digits could be the value runner here. Impressive runner that can go the distance, being a winner at distance and class previously. Has every chance here today.

Top Pick – Morton’s Fork
Next Best – Carzoff
Longshot – Dark Eyes

TOP PICK

Race 8 – HUNTER PETROLEUM DA VINCI BM 66 1300m

Morpheus is great value at the time of writing. From the in form Newnham stables, has James McDonald in the saddle, and will still have residual fitness for this run. Expect a bold showing. Nuke and James Innes Jr really announced themselves last start with an eye catching win, really impressive to kick then dig deep to hold any swoopers at bay. If Morpheus doesn’t win today – Nuke most certainly will. So Bizarre is a value runner here today. Winner at the track previously, but, needs to improve at the six and a half furlong trip. Can do that today and be right in it.

Top Pick – Morpheus
Next Best – Nuke
Longshot – So Bizarre

TOP PICK

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 1/3/8
Race 5 – 4/7/9
Race 6 – 2/6/7
Race 7 – 4/6/8
$50 gets 62.00% on BetEasy

Best Bet – Panzerfaust Race 3 @ $2.15 on NEDS
Next Best – Morton’s Fork Race 7 @ $3.40 on BetEasy
Longshot – Inanup Race 4 @ $11.00 on NEDS

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Panzerfaust to win in to Morton’s Fork to win @ $6.96/+596 on BetEasy

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Rockhampton

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The Punters Guide returns after a little break. We have a few competitive races at Rockhampton today – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – GARRARD’S HORSE AND HOUND HANDICAP 1800m

Very difficult race to gauge first up. Barbados Storm was absolutely abysmal last start as odds on favourite, and, with the extra weight, even dropping significantly in class, doesn’t map well for this race. Aloof’s Turf is also dropping in class, comes in at a better weight, and, has lost to Barbados Storm before, but, is ready for revenge here today. Wiggins has been riding well and gets a good chance to kick start his Rockhampton campaign with a win here.

Top Pick – Aloof’s Turf
No next best – No third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 2 – HARDCORE SANDS CLASS 4 HANDICAP 1050m

This race was Beraht’s to win, that was, until the galloper was scratched this morning. This opens the door for Lota Creek Gold who enjoys a good run in small field and has an impressive first up record (4 3-0). Lota Creek Gold will look to sit on the heels of the lead horses and run on with it on the final turn. Maps well here. Biggest danger here is Mystic Forces, but, Lota Creek Gold should be too strong here.

Top Pick – Lota Creek Gold
No next best – No third dividend

TOP PICK

Race 3 – CENTRAL QLD PLASTERERS CLASS 2 1200m

Margo Maree ran on gamely in defeat last start, pushing through the middle late but, getting swooped on by the eventual winner from out wide. Comes in at the weights lighter than the main player in the race here, and, a run similar to last should be enough to get the job done here. Blazeray can’t be discredited here. One of the top chances in the race and is going to be a competitor throughout, only knock here is it is carrying a bit more than you would want and didn’t trial all too well in the lead up to this race. Value runner here could be Bound To Me who won impressively last start against a similar field and has won at this distance before. Win wouldn’t surprise.

Top Pick – Margo Maree
Next Best – Blazeray
Longshot – Bound To Me

TOP PICK

Race 4 – RAY WHITE ROCKHAMPTON CITY MAIDEN 1300m

Probably one of the most competitive maiden races you will see for a while, and, it is hard to take the nod away from Colorado River, big red flag is drawing the car park, and will need to put in a lot of work in order to get across. Has the ability to get to the front from the wide gate with good early speed, and if Wiggins can lead here, Colorado River will be hard to track down. Starbeats has drawn well here and is right in this one. Placing at this distance previously, only just missing on the chance to break its maiden. Spinks has ridden Starbeats for a place previously and will be looking for better here today. Massive value runner here in current $81 chance Hezagigolo. Trialed well, tested distance and ran well, but, didn’t handle the softer track, gets firmer ground today and is a definite chance.

Top Pick – Colorado River
Next Best – Starbeats
Longshot – Hezagigolo

TOP PICK

Race 5 – THE MORNING BULLETIN 3YO MAIDEN 1100m

The Tax Accountant is one that went into my blackbook after its last run before a spell. Impressive to say the least and figures prominently here against a weaker field of runners then was presented that day. Drawn the gun run on the rail and will look to push for the lead early. If The Tax Accountant can get to the lead, it could be too hard to track down. Based on last run, Hot Chocolate has every chance again here today. Lachlan Dodds rides again here today and will be more comfortable on Hot Chocolate, expect a bold run. Value in this race could come in the form of Painter’s Reward, drawn wide, but, has shown good early speed previously and is fresh today, placing last first-up effort. One to watch.

Top Pick – The Tax Accountant
Next Best – Hot Chocolate
Longshot/Value – Painter’s Reward

TOP PICK

Race 6 – XXXX GOLD OPEN HANDICAP 1050m

Ekklestone chases the four-peat here today, and, rates as the one to be on in this one. Does receive a jockey change, but, Stanley is certainly no downgrade. Drawn a bit wide, but, has won from the wide barrier already. Shows a great turn of foot, and despite a slight jump in grade, will be up to the task here today. Rates highly. Paradis Imperial is a real danger horse in this one. Should Ekklestone fail to fire, Paradis Imperial will make the most of it. Dropping in class today, drawn awkwardly but, has the early speed to counter this. Win won’t surprise. Value runner is definitely the Exceed and Excel runner, that has struck at this range and class previously in Four Excel. Four Excel however, continues the Rockhampton trend of highly rated runners copping wide gates, main knock is the #10 stall, but, another with good early speed that will challenge for the lead.

Top Pick – Ekklestone
Next Best – Paradis Imperial
Longshot – Four Excel

TOP PICK

Race 7 – CALLAGHAN PARK FUNCTIONS & EVENTS 1400m

Little Hunter can’t be overlooked here. Strong runner up last start against a similar field over this distance, and, with a little more luck can get the win here today. Running light, drawn well and has shown good sectional speed at this trip. Pulled across the track last start, which cost the run on the straight, but, still finished strongly for second. Will be hard to beat today. Nasty Gal is running well at the moment and is a clear danger to the top pick. Drawn well enough, and will look to run near the front of the race, has the closing speed to hold swoopers at bay. Fondue has won first up previously and is first up again here today after a short spell, residual fitness should still be there. Drawn a good gate here and should be competitive throughout.

Top Pick – Little Hunter
Next Best – Nasty Gal
Longshot – Fondue

TOP PICK

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 2/10/16
Race 5 – 1/4/8
Race 6 – 2/4/5
Race 7 – 6/9/10
$50 gets 62.00% on BetEasy

Best Bet – Ekklestone Race 6 @ $2.60 on NEDS
Next Best – The Tax Accountant Race 5 @ $3.00 on BetEasy
Longshot – Bound To Me Race 3 @ $9.50 on NEDS

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Ekklestone to win in to The Tax Accountant to win @ $7.20/+620 on BetEasy

Remember to follow Bet Chimps on social media below!
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Gambling is for 18+ only. If you think you have a gambling addiction, please, contact the gambling hotline on 1800 858 858

***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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Make sure to book mark Bet Chimps for more awesome and free Punters Guide posts.

DreamHack Stockholm – Preview, predictions and best bets

Can we finally declare this as being known as the “era of Astralis” is there any team that can truly compete with them at this event? Will the resurgent MiBR under new coach and former desk analyst Yanko, be able to turn heads at Stokcholm? Can Natus Vincere continue to make strides and not waste the prime of S1mple? All that and more with our projections for Dreamhack Stockholm 2018.

GROUP A

Astralis

Clearly the team to beat here at the event, and, getting over even money for them to win this event should be considered overs. With their continuation of Device absolutely dominating on map control, frees players like Magisk and Xpyx9 to roam and pick up loose kills. The structure and execution that Astralis plays at really puts them on another level when compared to the rest of the entrants at this event. Their opening match will be against the Australian side Grayhound Gaming, who won’t have Erkast due to visa issues. This should be considered a win by 7+ rounds to start the event. Astralis will win group A as they don’t have a great deal to contend with, with North, Tyloo and Grayhound as their listed competitors.

Tyloo

Just one of the asian sides here to make up numbers. Tyloo are one of the top asiatic sides in the CS scene, however it just doesn’t match up well when against European talent. BnTet can only do so much for this side, but, against players like Kjaerbye, Valde, Xpyx9, Dupreeh and Device, Tyloo will struggle to get out of group a, as North are starting to hit their stride at the right time.

North

North are coming into this one after qualifying for IEM Chicago after giving up an early lead to ENCE, who are a better side than both Tyloo and Grayhound Gaming. North are expected to be the second qualifier from this group with great play from Valde, Kjaerbye and MSL right now being a big game changer for this Danish side. They won’t do better than Astralis, but, they will be competitive at this event.

Grayhound Gaming

A side that is happy to just be at the event. Expected to be the side that finishes the event in last position, and, having a stand-in does not help with Erkast having visa issues. With that said, if they can get big games from Dexter and Gratisfaction, they could surprise, it won’t be in game one against Astralis, but, in their losers match, likely against Tyloo, there is a chance they could get a win. But, there isn’t much light at the end of the tunnel for Grayhound at this event.

GROUP B

Natus Vincere

Natus Vincere are one of the dark horses here as you never know what you are going to get tournament to tournament. They have the worlds best inidividual player in Oleksandr “s1mple” Kostyliev, who is a one man wrecking crew when at his best. When he gets good support play from Flamie and Electronic, Na’Vi are able to beat the best in the world, but, all three playing well at the same time has been the issue that has plagued this side. Inconsistency across the roster is what makes it difficult to say that they will step up here in Sweden. They will win their group – but after that, they are a big unknown.

NRG eSports

NRG, NRG, NRG. This is the most volatile side form a betting perspective as the entire team hinges on the play of Cerq. If Cerq is having an off day, then this team can lose to teams that don’t even rank in the worlds top 100. When they get elite level play from Cerq, they can mix it with the best, unfortunately there is no middle for this team, its either the ceiling or the floor. Cerq needs to go off in every game at this event for NRG to be able to make the final, or even survive the group stages, and with their inconsistency right now – getting out of the group stages may prove difficult.

Ninja’s In Pyjamas

This is an incredibly volatile group – they have pooled all the teams together and put them in here that can either play high or low with no middle. NiP are another of those sides. get_right is one of the best pure aimers in the game, unfortunately, the rest of the side seems to miss the target more often then not. Pistol rounds are usually something they win due to the level of Denis in these rounds, but, after that, the lack of executions, poor communication and just absurd play calling at times is what really limits this roster. The individual talent is there on this roster, they just don’t have the team mechanics to win an event like this, even in front of a home crowd – but, that home crowd may be enough to get them out of the group stages.

Ghost

Ghost may have used all their luck during the Zotac Cup, where they eliminated the more heavily fancied Optic Gaming – beating them on what many thought was an instant 1-0 for Optic when claiming Nuke. This group they find themselves in, their best chance of survival is if they are able to draw NiP and NRG as their first two matches, unfortunately, they have drawn Na’Vi, who should beat them by 7 or more rounds. Ghost just like NRG, don’t have the talent level across the roster to beat a team like NiP or Na’Vi and will struggle to not come last.

GROUP C

FaZe Clan

If Faze don’t top the group they have been drawn in, then, they shouldn’t waste any more time and pack their bags and go home. Being pooled in one of the weaker groups where the main opponent is going to be Optic. They start proceedings off against Heroic, who have been absolutely abysmal over the last few months with constant roster changes, they haven’t really recovered since losing Snappi and Yugi to Optic. Faze is in a position where they should qualify in first and do so with a round differential in the +10’s. Faze were underwhelming in their last major appearance, crashing out in the group stages. Better is expected here as they are the best side in Group C.

Heroic

No form to speak of leading into this tournament. The addition of Acillion after Rubino had to leave due to an eye injury hasn’t proved overly impressive. Veteran banana legend Friberg is extremely hit and miss and it is hard to see where the map control and the fragging is going to come from for this team. There isn’t many positives here for Heroic and they have drawn a group where they will most likely be going home as the bottom of it.

Optic Gaming

Shock losers at the Zotac Cup, when they were expected to do no worse then make the final. Expectation and reality are often two different things in this world and Optic went in with the attitude that they were already there. Then got their pants pulled down by Ghost. After what should have been a humbling experience for the Danish quintet, they have found a group that, with a bit of luck they could win. But, they would need to go past Swedish giants Fnatic in front of their home crowd in order to achieve this – a highly unlikely feat based on recent performances. However, if Optic are able to jag Inferno in this best of one, they could very well beat Fnatic who have underhwelming at best of late. Optic have every chance if Yugi is on fire, as the lack of fragging from him at Zotac was one of the key contributors to their demise.

Fnatic

The recent roster shuffles for Fnatic has had its ups and downs. Giving Lekr0 the flick was a strange choice, and adding Draken, who is a high ceiling, low floor type of player didn’t make much sense. Releasing Golden for Xizt however did, as Fnatic really needed an IGL and Xizt is that. However, they don’t have a great deal of firepower outside of Krimz, but, this team should be good enough to finish second in this group. Heroic and Optic are two beatable sides for the Swedish giants, and they won’t want to waste this chance in front of a home crowd.

GROUP D

MiBR

Have we seen enough from MiBR at Zotac to suggest that the new coaching change is enough to put them back on the map? The answer is no. Zotac was compiled of a handful of low level teams that MiBR were expected to trounce, and they did just that. Now, we see that side has drawn a favourable group where they will start the event against HellRaisers, who will provide a real challenge if Woxic plays well. Fallen seems to be thriving in his new surroundings, with Tarik and Stewie bouncing off one another well. Coldzera will need to step up again here to open the match up for MiBR if they are to progress from this competitive group.

Mousesports

Was Styko the problem? This is yet to be seen, as with Styko, Sunny and Ropz played much better as they had a meat shield that would draw out opponents. After taking that away and adding Snax, they don’t have this bullet bait on the roster any more and they have hsown that they just aren’t as good as hunting for the kills as they were when the kills were taken when opponents were chasing Styko. Chrisj and Oskar are not exempt here either as their play has been lacking. Hopefully the summer break gave this team the time needed to gel and they can put on a better showing here in Stockholm.

HellRaisers

HellRaisers are another of those “high ceiling, low floor” types of rosters. When they get the best from Woxic, they can mix it with the best in the world, when this side needs to rely on the likes of Fox and ISSA to make plays – they don’t win, its pretty simple really. Woxic is the spine of this team and when he underperforms, they don’t have the supporting players to pick up the slack. This is the floor of this team, is whether Woxic is playing well or not. Starting fresh, he needs to out duel Fallen, which could be what he needs to get sharp quickly. Can be a dark horse in this group if Woxic plays well.

Gambit

Not much to like about this side. Rewind the clock back to CS 1.6 and oyu had a much more competitive Gambit, fast forward to Global Offensive, and they just haven’t adapted well to the new surroundings. Drawing Mousesports isn’t a great start here, especially if the map lands on Train. Dosia needs to step aside, as his lack of fragging is holding back this roster. Adren, Hobbit and Mou all need to perform much better than they have of late if Gambit are to do better then last in in this group. Not much to like here.

BEST BETS AND SELECTIONS

TO WIN OUTRIGHT

Even at slightly above evens, you just can’t look beyond Astralis. They are the best side at the tournament, in the best form and just show that they have the best team mechanics time and time again. Maybe it is time to finally declare this the “Astralis era”?

Group D Winner

This is a very congested group – with some real standouts, and one clear punching bag (Gambit). However, the complete rebuilding of MiBR has proven successful and, on their utter destruction of Kinguin and coming into this one with game fitness, it is hard to look past them here in this group – especially if MiBR can give HellRaisers a beatdown in game one. While this is a tightly congested group – Mousesports should not be considered the favourites to win as they just don’t have the team chemsitry so far in a post-Styko environment funnily enough, despite the calls for Styko to be given the boot – he was the lynchpin for Mousesports winning rounds. MiBR have the better overall talent on their roster and at their best, will top this group.

Remember to follow Bet Chimps on social media below!
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Gambling is for 18+ only. If you think you have a gambling addiction, please, contact the gambling hotline on 1800 858 858

***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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Bet Chimps Punters Guide – Canterbury

Newcastle jockey Robert Thorton - by Citrus Zest via Wikimedia

By Citrus Zest [Creative Commons], via Wikimedia Commons

The Punters Guide returns after a little break. We have a few competitive races at Canterbury today – lets pick the diamonds from the quartz. Our last guide can be found HERE

Race 1 – EVEREST CARNIVAL HANDICAP 1100m

Really interesting and competitive opening race here with Hugh Bowman having a slight edge here on Wagner. The Godolphin runner is going to be hard to beat here. Jumping fresh today, but, looked impressive over distance before going on spell. Bowman adds an extra element to Wagner here and will be able to get the best out of the horse. Clear danger horse here is Vendome. James McDonald has been riding well since returning from h is suspension, and, has a very big chance to kick his Canterbury campaign off with a winner. Another horse from Kiwi sire O’Reilly, who has produced quite a few winners this season can add another one here with Vendome. At this range, you can never look past a Nicconi horse, and we have one i this race in Nicco Lad. Coming in after a spell, and, was racing well prior to that, grabbing two minor placings. Expected to go well again here today.

Top Pick – Wagner
Next Best – Vendome
Longshot – Nicco Lad

TOP PICK

Race 2 – TAB HANDICAP 1100m

This one looks to be a bit of a swing here, but, Ambleve ran impressively on debut, coming from eighth to storm home to second – only issue is that on the day, Pippie was just too good. This field has some that will look to get to the lead, but, if Ambleve can reproduce that run from its debut, it can swoop here. Right in this. Call Me Royal may have been the top choice here if not for the dodgy gate draw, but, has the early speed to overcome this and get into a favourable position. A win wouldn’t shock here. Bring The Magic is the next selection here, with the top pick being of longshot value – Bring The Magic could be the value horse. While it may be the less favoured of the two Waller runners here, it has the most upside as Press Box hasn’t been impressive at all, and was spelled after a very disappointing fifth. Bring The Magic can roll forward form the inside draw and get to the lead. Will need to show it can finish a race here today.

Top Pick – Ambleve
Next Best – Call Me Royal
Longshot/Value – Bring The Magic

TOP PICK

Race 3 – #THERACES HANDICAP 2700m

Only staying test of the meet here, and Segenhoe looks like it will be too hard to beat here. Dropping significantly in class, untested at this range, but, failed to strike on two occasions at the track, finds the going easier today and should be in the mix. All Cash is another that should be right in this one. Winner at track and class, but, having its first true staying test today, going over 2500m for the first time in its career. One to watch. Everly Girl is the danger horse here, greaat value and proven winner at range previously. Griesdale scored a nice winner yesterday, and, can replicate that success here on a horse at good odds that has a true chance.

Top Pick – Segenhoe
Next Best – All Cash
Longshot – Everly Girl

TOP PICK

Race 4 – TAB REWARDS HANDICAP 1900m

Scratches looks the one to beat in this contest. Running over the right distance today, that it has a solid strike rate over (3 2-0) and finds a beatable field today. Drawn well and will use the rail run in order to get to the lead or close to. Can win this. The next best here is Makdanife, has been there abouts this prep and is dropping in class to get this ever elusive win. Came on strong last race over a shorter distance and the extra furlong and a half is a big plus here. One of the chances. Grand Soleil is another that can’t be looked past here, impressive winner last start, and looked like it wanted to keep going, gets its chance today with a longer trip and must be included.

Top Pick – Scratches
Next Best – Makdanife
Longshot – Grand Soleil

TOP PICK

Race 5 – RIBCHESTER NEW TO DARLEY HANDICAP 1550m

Falcon Island was an impressive winner last start when sweeping over the top of Gauguin to score over this distance at this track. Gets a chance to double up on that performance going against Gauguin again today. If Falcon Island doesn’t finsish as fast as he did last start then Gauguin will ahve every chance in this one as it will look to get to the lead early again and stay there. Apart from Falcon Island, there is only one other late finisher that could threaten Gauguin, and that is Melbarra Star, who retains jockey from last start winning effort. These three horses at the top rated for this race and could produce a healthy trifecta.

Top Pick – Falcon Island
Next Best – Gauguin
Longshot – Melbarra Star.

TOP PICK

Race 6 – ATC HONG KONG TOUR SPRINT 1200m

Esperance is the one to back here. Last start coming off a spell finished a respectable second, and will be fitter for that run here today. Has the quicker closing sectionals in this race and retains jockey from first-up effort. Expect a bold run here today. Metamorphic won impressively last start and there is nothing to suggest that an effort like that can’t be reproduced here again today. Winner at distance, class and track and will be hard to keep out again here today. Falster is stepping up in class today, but, first up run last effort was eye catching to say the least, digging deep to hold the lead over the straight, if Falster can get a good start again today – could be hard to track down.

Top Pick – Esperance
Next Best – Metamorphic
Longshot – Falster

TOP PICK

Race 7 – AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP 1200m

Madam Rouge is a strong chance here, winner second up previously, drawn a sticky barrier here, but, nothing early speed can’t overcome. James McDonald will be looking to get the closing win here on another of his top chances on the day. Yet to be tested at this range, but, win prior to spell suggested it could go on with the extra furlong. Class dropper Tarabai must be included here. Running second up today, winner second up previously and is a winner at class and distance as well. One of the top hopes. Red Chandelier has drawn a gun run on the rail and is yet to be out of a placing when first-up. Winner first up previously as well as being a winner at distance. Fresh here and must be respected.

Top Pick – Madam Rouge
Next Best – Tarabai
Longshot – Red Chandelier

TOP PICK

QUADDIE FOR THE MEET
Race 4 – 5/7/9
Race 5 – 2/4/9
Race 6 – 3/4/5
Race 7 – 3/6/9
$50 gets 62.00% on BetEasy

Best Bet – Scratches Race 4 @ $4.20 on BetEasy
Next Best – Falcon Island Race 5 @ $2.90 on NEDS
Longshot – Red Chandelier Race 7 @ $14.00 on NEDS

Bet Chimps Racing Double – Falcon Island to win in to Esperance to win @ $6.16/+516 on BetEasy

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***all listed odds are subject to change, as races are commenced after the writing of this article.

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